Lol · resolved market
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x21e8a6f2615e8598a7e89cd7a4a4ab2ea822698c5932c76c602d25124deb838b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Team Heretics Academy, Misa Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,452 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Team Heretics Academy | 3c | 11,383$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.93 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9671…3a70backed Team Heretics Academy | 5c | 6,332$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 284 | 4.6%13 W · 271 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Team Heretics Academy | 26c | 5,589$1,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,472.86 | 273 | 53.1%145 W · 128 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Team Heretics Academy | 5c | 3,549$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.42 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports | 64c | 2,350$1,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.33 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc5…1135backed Team Heretics Academy | 22c | 2,100$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.18 | 440 | 42%185 W · 255 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Misa Esports | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,435 | 57.4%824 W · 611 L | +36.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Misa Esports | 73c | 1,487$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.14 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Team Heretics Academy | 16c | 1,300$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.72 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics Academy | 24c | 1,082$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.09 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Heretics Academy | 19c | 1,080$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Heretics Academy | 17c | 938.79$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 110 | 35.5%39 W · 71 L | -9.4wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Misa Esports | 79c | 822.79$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.1 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fc…affbbacked Team Heretics Academy | 17c | 763.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.38 | 447 | 51%228 W · 219 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics Academy | 22c | 737.64$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.49 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed Team Heretics Academy | 18c | 729.25$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.43 | 436 | 42.4%185 W · 251 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Misa Esports | 75c | 673.5$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed Misa Esports | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Misa Esports | 72c | 530.71$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.6 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf592…b62dbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 500$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 685 | 57.5%394 W · 291 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Misa Esports | 75c | 401.13$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.13 | 1,663 | 59.5%990 W · 673 L | +98.5wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Team Heretics Academy | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 225 | 45.8%103 W · 122 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports | 79c | 304.1$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports | 79c | 294.97$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.59 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455b…ae12backed Misa Esports | 71c | 267.57$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.57 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Team Heretics Academy | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics Academy | 21c | 217.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.51 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Team Heretics Academy | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0563…8b03backed Team Heretics Academy | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 684 | 43.6%298 W · 386 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Team Heretics Academy | 20c | 185$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 238 | 32.4%77 W · 161 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Heretics Academy | 6c | 183$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | -33.2wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics Academy | 29c | 144.06$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Team Heretics Academy | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 226 | 17.7%40 W · 186 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a04…501cbacked Team Heretics Academy | 28c | 142.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89c…2d1fbacked Misa Esports | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 181 | 59.1%107 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…ab7bbacked Misa Esports | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 835 | 60.8%508 W · 327 L | +45.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Team Heretics Academy | 31c | 117.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Team Heretics Academy | 19c | 115.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Heretics Academy | 23c | 112.07$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 742 | 50.5%375 W · 367 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Team Heretics Academy | 28c | 95.21$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.51 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd1…17ccbacked Team Heretics Academy | 34c | 92.89$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 601 | 24.1%145 W · 456 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Misa Esports | 77c | 83.81$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.28 | 579 | 47.3%274 W · 305 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…f506backed Team Heretics Academy | 19c | 73.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398d…b8d6backed Misa Esports | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 644 | 51.2%330 W · 314 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team Heretics Academy | 37c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Misa Esports | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Misa Esports | 76c | 53.71$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 60 | 25%15 W · 45 L | -7.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc161…bd88backed Team Heretics Academy | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 738 | 51.5%380 W · 358 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Heretics Academy | 53c | 52.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Misa Esports | 77c | 51.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.72 | 441 | 29.5%130 W · 311 L | -45.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -48%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…586cbacked Team Heretics Academy | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 269 | 37.5%101 W · 168 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b70…1efebacked Misa Esports | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics Academy | 25c | 46.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…b387backed Misa Esports | 73c | 46$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 647 | 49.5%320 W · 327 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Misa Esports | 78c | 39.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.71 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Misa Esports | 78c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Misa Esports | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 305 | 45.2%138 W · 167 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…671fbacked Misa Esports | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 134 | 67.2%90 W · 44 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Team Heretics Academy | 53c | 19.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics Academy won
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)Misa Esports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.