Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3d92dbd7c076bdfe146874ddc3817dd1ece062173c39f01c13897c018d01997
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Misa Esportsof Misa Esports, Team Heretics Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,425
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,425 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Heretics Academy | 47c | 3,266$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.82 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked Misa Esports | 55c | 1,817$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.54 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Misa Esports | 19c | 1,281$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.77 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Misa Esports | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56d…9eeabacked Misa Esports | 53c | 888$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.36 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Team Heretics Academy | 45c | 855.61$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385 | 861 | 44.1%380 W · 481 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Team Heretics Academy | 42c | 829.5$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.39 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Misa Esports | 53c | 777$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.19 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Team Heretics Academy | 45c | 700$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Misa Esports | 58c | 695.06$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.04 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Misa Esports | 53c | 683.21$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.62 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed Team Heretics Academy | 46c | 649.83$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Team Heretics Academy | 46c | 534.91$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.91 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Misa Esports | 54c | 462$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.52 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Misa Esports | 15c | 400$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x939f…7eabbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 33c | 314.64$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.42 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Misa Esports | 52c | 276.08$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.52 | 769 | 53.4%411 W · 358 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9735…8e3bbacked Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 213.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.52 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Misa Esports | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 481 | 43.2%208 W · 273 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Misa Esports | 57c | 153.99$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 512 | 47.3%242 W · 270 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Misa Esports | 15c | 151.93$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.14 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb223…3772backed Team Heretics Academy | 45c | 110$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 394 | 45.2%178 W · 216 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Team Heretics Academy | 50c | 100.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Team Heretics Academy | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 92 | 27.2%25 W · 67 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Misa Esports | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.91 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Misa Esports | 50c | 82.7$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Misa Esports | 66c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 572 | 22.7%130 W · 442 L | -48.9wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fa…013abacked Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 51.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Misa Esports | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…ca4ebacked Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab5a…8422backed Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Team Heretics Academy | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Misa Esports | 61c | 39$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 421 | 24.7%104 W · 317 L | -51.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -47%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Misa Esports | 52c | 34.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Misa Esports | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 186 | 40.9%76 W · 110 L | -14.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…e2d0backed Team Heretics Academy | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 52.8%67 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Misa Esports | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 160 | 38.1%61 W · 99 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d83…bdfcbacked Team Heretics Academy | 45c | 29.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Misa Esports | 53c | 28.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Misa Esports | 51c | 20.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 233 | 48.1%112 W · 121 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Misa Esports | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics Academy won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsMisa Esports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 1 WinnerMisa Esports won
- LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.