Lol · resolved market

LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x76e2e03252b11773332e6157bece299f296fad3ca095a6523c77c31437f11f2b

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Misa Esportsof Team Heretics Academy, Misa Esports
Resolved: Mar 25, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $45,254

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,254 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Lol
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Heretics Academy	42c	3,239$1,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,372.7	180	41.7%75 W · 105 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8d9f…787abacked Misa Esports	39c	2,930$1,131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,798.41	616	45.3%279 W · 337 L	+36.4wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Misa Esports	72c	2,500$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$700	1,441	57.4%827 W · 614 L	+35.4wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x88b9…0fc9backed Team Heretics Academy	28c	2,480$694 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.4	348	37.4%130 W · 218 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Heretics Academy	58c	2,464$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.63	110	35.5%39 W · 71 L	-9.4wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-31%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4c67…9896backed Team Heretics Academy	25c	2,032$502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$502.13	509	45.8%233 W · 276 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Misa Esports	70c	1,757$1,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$522.07	697	56.5%394 W · 303 L	+26.1wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Heretics Academy	41c	1,597$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648.39	2,910	38.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L	-120.0wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Heretics Academy	59c	1,277$756 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$756.27	1,603	42.4%679 W · 924 L	-18.1wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Team Heretics Academy	54c	1,000$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	1,635	40.2%657 W · 978 L	+48.7wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f4e…b690backed Misa Esports	72c	1,000$720 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280	829	54.5%452 W · 377 L	+3.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Team Heretics Academy	40c	803.54$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$324.99	2,836	41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L	-12.9wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Misa Esports	46c	770.34$358 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$412.17	1,813	39.1%709 W · 1,104 L	-30.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf859…a183backed Misa Esports	44c	550$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$310	1,213	52.3%635 W · 578 L	+33.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Misa Esports	59c	505.69$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$205.9	1,731	44.2%765 W · 966 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe74b…ee88backed Misa Esports	74c	500$370 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$130	864	51.4%444 W · 420 L	+52.1wins	+0.06per pick	45cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x473f…9892backed Team Heretics Academy	32c	462.12$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	436	42.4%185 W · 251 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x455b…ae12backed Misa Esports	57c	439.07$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$189.07	67	61.2%41 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5392…d2ecbacked Team Heretics Academy	23c	434.78$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	18.5%17 W · 75 L	-5.5wins	-0.06per pick	24cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04bd…39a0backed Team Heretics Academy	48c	394.23$191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$191.15	1,229	45.1%554 W · 675 L	+48.5wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb3…76a9backed Team Heretics Academy	58c	368.61$212 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.17	392	46.4%182 W · 210 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-10%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…e969backed Misa Esports	70c	360$252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	1,246	52.6%656 W · 590 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf33c…4c38backed Misa Esports	64c	315.44$203 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.07	240	65%156 W · 84 L	+24.6wins	+0.10per pick	55cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Misa Esports	65c	307.93$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$107.93	1,675	59.3%993 W · 682 L	+96.8wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Team Heretics Academy	65c	300$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	566	50%283 W · 283 L	-14.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x37f8…b5e5backed Misa Esports	39c	287.04$113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$173.92	549	44.4%244 W · 305 L	+10.5wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc33…aa3ebacked Team Heretics Academy	22c	265.93$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	402	37.8%152 W · 250 L	-9.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Misa Esports	68c	263.01$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.16	1,258	38.6%485 W · 773 L	-61.8wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xce5f…ab17backed Misa Esports	72c	200$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57	387	43.9%170 W · 217 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5198…7a53backed Team Heretics Academy	22c	193.34$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.53	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb077…5cefbacked Misa Esports	46c	151.28$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.28	170	57.1%97 W · 73 L	+10.6wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+14.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf163…ca34backed Misa Esports	68c	145$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.05	1,492	48.4%722 W · 770 L	+47.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200e…e21dbacked Misa Esports	73c	136.99$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36.99	1,012	47%476 W · 536 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Misa Esports	66c	136.36$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.36	480	42.3%203 W · 277 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Team Heretics Academy	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.7wins	-0.11per pick	65cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Team Heretics Academy	42c	127.71$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.31	1,608	17.5%282 W · 1,326 L	-245.3wins	-0.15per pick	33cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0xc1e7…174fbacked Misa Esports	38c	126.32$48 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.32	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	45cpaid	-43.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Team Heretics Academy	49c	125.41$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.25	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	50cpaid	+30.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Heretics Academy	39c	120.23$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.28	742	50.5%375 W · 367 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Team Heretics Academy	39c	118$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.54	572	22.7%130 W · 442 L	-48.9wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Misa Esports	72c	100$72 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.5	430	40.9%176 W · 254 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4523…0be0backed Misa Esports	53c	100$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47	160	38.1%61 W · 99 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa900…5acebacked Team Heretics Academy	44c	100$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.33	140	32.1%45 W · 95 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Team Heretics Academy	23c	77.62$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.62	1,545	43.8%676 W · 869 L	-28.0wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x398d…b8d6backed Misa Esports	66c	75.76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.76	644	51.2%330 W · 314 L	+8.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ee…e425backed Team Heretics Academy	31c	63.29$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.62	751	42.1%316 W · 435 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63af…233dbacked Team Heretics Academy	58c	62.52$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.34	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	59cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked Team Heretics Academy	47c	62$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.18	253	31.2%79 W · 174 L	-9.8wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Heretics Academy	36c	60.03$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.73	199	48.2%96 W · 103 L	-5.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2aa5…ff32backed Misa Esports	69c	59.68$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.5	1,232	49.4%609 W · 623 L	+13.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team Heretics Academy	41c	58$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.59	331	24.2%80 W · 251 L	-33.2wins	-0.10per pick	34cpaid	-43.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2ce2…4b11backed Team Heretics Academy	40c	56$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc51f…e115backed Misa Esports	37c	54.05$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.05	116	65.5%76 W · 40 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	63cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed Team Heretics Academy	42c	50$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.12	441	29.5%130 W · 311 L	-45.9wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	-48%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf006…bf1ebacked Team Heretics Academy	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	697	46.8%326 W · 371 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Misa Esports	71c	50$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.5	539	54.7%295 W · 244 L	+12.0wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef1…add2backed Misa Esports	65c	49.59$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.46	228	67.5%154 W · 74 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	58cpaid	+14.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Team Heretics Academy	22c	48.79$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	70	28.6%20 W · 50 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x917d…9429backed Team Heretics Academy	45c	46.5$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.78	29	31%9 W · 20 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Team Heretics Academy	33c	43.95$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.29	2,364	40.7%963 W · 1,401 L	-57.2wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c1…d9febacked Team Heretics Academy	27c	40.15$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.84	159	52.2%83 W · 76 L	-4.0wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbbc…2b70backed Misa Esports	72c	40$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.4	350	48%168 W · 182 L	+9.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed Team Heretics Academy	56c	40$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.34	432	33.8%146 W · 286 L	-20.6wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-23%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Team Heretics Academy	48c	40$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.1	726	37.7%274 W · 452 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Team Heretics Academy	30c	36.71$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.01	61	26.2%16 W · 45 L	-7.2wins	-0.12per pick	38cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1d64…527ebacked Misa Esports	50c	34$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17	625	58.7%367 W · 258 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3b3a…aaa2backed Misa Esports	40c	33.16$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.78	118	47.5%56 W · 62 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e4d…1cb0backed Team Heretics Academy	54c	31.68$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.11	1,270	57%724 W · 546 L	+45.7wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b4…17b1backed Misa Esports	73c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.25	252	36.1%91 W · 161 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Heretics Academy	49c	29.85$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.63	233	48.1%112 W · 121 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Team Heretics Academy	42c	29$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.07	95	56.8%54 W · 41 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Team Heretics Academy	44c	24.35$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.75	756	49.6%375 W · 381 L	+10.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Team Heretics Academy	53c	24$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.72	421	24.7%104 W · 317 L	-51.1wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-47%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0x5cb5…e1e1backed Team Heretics Academy	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	107	59.8%64 W · 43 L	-12.4wins	-0.12per pick	71cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3fd1…17ccbacked Team Heretics Academy	63c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	601	24.1%145 W · 456 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc44f…af90backed Misa Esports	75c	15.2$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.8	145	66.2%96 W · 49 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	63cpaid	+4.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
First Blood in Game 1?Team Heretics Academy won
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs Team Heretics Academy (+1.5)Misa Esports won
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters PlayoffsMisa Esports won
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 2 WinnerMisa Esports won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event