Tennis · resolved market
ITF Astana: Amir Omarkhanov vs Damir Zhalgasbay
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2216f94dab41af300dc2559df56594d76976b9e7e312a37d9e94db78da6661e8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Damir Zhalgasbayof Amir Omarkhanov, Damir Zhalgasbay
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,702
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,816
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,702 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7002…395cbacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 62c | 3,957$2,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499.17 | 223 | 52.5%117 W · 106 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 54c | 2,988$1,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.53 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Amir Omarkhanov | 42c | 2,235$939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.81 | 721 | 29.7%214 W · 507 L | -41.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Amir Omarkhanov | 55c | 1,895$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.02 | 155 | 46.5%72 W · 83 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 63c | 1,589$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.21 | 635 | 56.7%360 W · 275 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 42c | 1,291$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.71 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Amir Omarkhanov | 39c | 985.29$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.78 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 64c | 936.41$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.41 | 1,723 | 50.1%863 W · 860 L | +29.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 53c | 775.68$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.57 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 35c | 571.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.49 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amir Omarkhanov | 63c | 367.27$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.99 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Amir Omarkhanov | 61c | 328.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 313 | 55.3%173 W · 140 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 52c | 288$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.76 | 2,776 | 53.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L | +69.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a62…4ab9backed Amir Omarkhanov | 41c | 190.24$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 145 | 36.6%53 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79e…d969backed Amir Omarkhanov | 41c | 186.41$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.43 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 60c | 157.22$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.89 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 54c | 138.4$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.66 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x428d…8cb6backed Amir Omarkhanov | 20c | 119$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 70c | 115.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.65 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 39c | 102.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.58 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 63c | 96.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb0…15a6backed Amir Omarkhanov | 19c | 91.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 70 | 12.9%9 W · 61 L | -21.0wins | -0.30per pick | 43cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 25-0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Amir Omarkhanov | 76c | 91.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 299 | 55.2%165 W · 134 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 58c | 89.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Amir Omarkhanov | 47c | 85.14$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 451 | 39%176 W · 275 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Amir Omarkhanov | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Amir Omarkhanov | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Amir Omarkhanov | 66c | 70.98$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.85 | 396 | 46.5%184 W · 212 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Amir Omarkhanov | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,456 | 45.1%656 W · 800 L | +42.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbb…c7fbbacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 25c | 66.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Amir Omarkhanov | 52c | 62$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.43 | 429 | 51.3%220 W · 209 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Amir Omarkhanov | 65c | 47.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 471 | 66.5%313 W · 158 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Amir Omarkhanov | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 533 | 56.7%302 W · 231 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Amir Omarkhanov | 76c | 41.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Amir Omarkhanov | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 53c | 37.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.73 | 441 | 44.7%197 W · 244 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 63c | 35.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 57c | 28.84$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 1,766 | 45.9%810 W · 956 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Amir Omarkhanov | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 51c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Amir Omarkhanov | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,036 | 54.2%562 W · 474 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Amir Omarkhanov | 63c | 23.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 53c | 22.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Amir Omarkhanov | 59c | 22.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Amir Omarkhanov | 76c | 21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 73c | 19.92$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 53c | 19.82$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Damir Zhalgasbay | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Damir Zhalgasbay | 78c | 15.37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.38 | 135 | 61.5%83 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3785…f577backed Amir Omarkhanov | 77c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.