TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Oeiras 4: Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lucia Bronzettiof Lucia Bronzetti, Varvara Lepchenko
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,220
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,687

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,220 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Varvara Lepchenko27c8,114$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,163.388,72636.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L-187.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3df…82fabacked Lucia Bronzetti72c4,194$3,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.9127846%128 W · 150 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-10.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lucia Bronzetti70c3,079$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.812,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Varvara Lepchenko17c2,338$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40034047.4%161 W · 179 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Varvara Lepchenko29c2,335$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.347,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Lucia Bronzetti75c1,965$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.114,46667.7%3,023 W · 1,443 L+299.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Lucia Bronzetti73c1,583$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.3954345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ca…4ac0backed Lucia Bronzetti63c1,001$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.378461.9%52 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9797…c193backed Lucia Bronzetti54c866.08$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.42552%13 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Lucia Bronzetti74c470$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.237741.4%156 W · 221 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-7.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Varvara Lepchenko46c420.67$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.511,84445.7%843 W · 1,001 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Varvara Lepchenko29c419.28$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5910428.8%30 W · 74 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Varvara Lepchenko37c409.91$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.34,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Varvara Lepchenko30c404.18$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.1428833.3%96 W · 192 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Varvara Lepchenko32c320.19$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.041,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Varvara Lepchenko41c296.44$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.5485348.7%415 W · 438 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lucia Bronzetti76c279.54$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.863,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff87…f5f7backed Lucia Bronzetti71c257.67$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.819458.5%55 W · 39 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucia Bronzetti77c257.42$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.56,59650.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L+259.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d04…022bbacked Varvara Lepchenko30c249.08$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.7214531.7%46 W · 99 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Varvara Lepchenko39c248.54$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.331,66752.8%881 W · 786 L+43.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Lucia Bronzetti60c244$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.660562.8%380 W · 225 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Varvara Lepchenko46c226.28$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9584548.3%408 W · 437 L+34.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6077…3231backed Lucia Bronzetti73c214.69$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0117348%83 W · 90 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Varvara Lepchenko17c205.45$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.6111,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa724…7bdabacked Lucia Bronzetti65c203.47$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2129754.5%162 W · 135 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Lucia Bronzetti71c196.52$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.999,23144.3%4,088 W · 5,143 L-241.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed Lucia Bronzetti58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4196541.5%400 W · 565 L+14.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1112…90dbbacked Varvara Lepchenko40c157.23$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.8915141.1%62 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Lucia Bronzetti63c154.86$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.356754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Varvara Lepchenko9c150.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5922113.6%30 W · 191 L-5.8wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbe6…8760backed Lucia Bronzetti66c150.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.561050%5 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Varvara Lepchenko25c150.08$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.85,28856.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L+231.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Varvara Lepchenko41c148.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7760446.7%282 W · 322 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Varvara Lepchenko41c148.22$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.7776853%407 W · 361 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Lucia Bronzetti47c147.93$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6649142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa7ca…8850backed Varvara Lepchenko14c145.84$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.176732.8%22 W · 45 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Varvara Lepchenko30c143.73$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.654661%333 W · 213 L+34.3wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+3.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ab8…6eaabacked Varvara Lepchenko46c129.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.66137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Varvara Lepchenko39c123.87$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1727754.5%151 W · 126 L+9.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Varvara Lepchenko52c115.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.031,63450%817 W · 817 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Lucia Bronzetti47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Lucia Bronzetti69c98.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315117.6%9 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick31cpaid-71.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8390…3773backed Varvara Lepchenko46c95.22$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.86654.5%36 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Lucia Bronzetti59c90.54$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.061,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Varvara Lepchenko34c90.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.371,02843.3%445 W · 583 L-24.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Varvara Lepchenko22c83.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4e1…74a7backed Lucia Bronzetti78c82.56$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.433060%18 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Lucia Bronzetti57c76.45$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.871,92055.4%1,064 W · 856 L-44.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Varvara Lepchenko23c73.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2414132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Lucia Bronzetti64c69.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.181,17451.9%609 W · 565 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Lucia Bronzetti64c69.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1863052.4%330 W · 300 L+12.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Lucia Bronzetti64c69.96$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.1860355.4%334 W · 269 L+19.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe697…708fbacked Lucia Bronzetti62c69.95$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.7837058.6%217 W · 153 L+17.3wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Lucia Bronzetti68c68.65$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221,21955%670 W · 549 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5628…abbcbacked Lucia Bronzetti48c67.96$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.342,22945%1,002 W · 1,227 L+3.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6683…f5f4backed Varvara Lepchenko38c67.4$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.6110658.5%62 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Varvara Lepchenko52c65.56$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0977047.9%369 W · 401 L-19.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Lucia Bronzetti72c58.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5288273.5%648 W · 234 L+19.8wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x071f…92bdbacked Lucia Bronzetti78c58.71$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.921,07173.9%791 W · 280 L+41.5wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Lucia Bronzetti74c58.45$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.21,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb4c9…a454backed Varvara Lepchenko30c57.73$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3232043.8%140 W · 180 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Varvara Lepchenko53c57.48$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4717145.6%78 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Lucia Bronzetti76c57.48$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9991880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ebc…01c6backed Varvara Lepchenko34c56.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.285752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+16.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Varvara Lepchenko31c56.41$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4256817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Varvara Lepchenko52c56.03$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.142,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Lucia Bronzetti48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Lucia Bronzetti49c48.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.9319634.2%67 W · 129 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Varvara Lepchenko41c46.22$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.953,86234.9%1,348 W · 2,514 L+92.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Varvara Lepchenko35c45.5$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.863,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x2280…3780backed Varvara Lepchenko39c43.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715163.6%96 W · 55 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Lucia Bronzetti63c41.85$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.369240.2%37 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe132…7a38backed Lucia Bronzetti72c40.97$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.4718164.1%116 W · 65 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05c5…8181backed Lucia Bronzetti48c39.97$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5979356.2%446 W · 347 L-2.5wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9158…ba55backed Lucia Bronzetti47c39.15$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7525745.9%118 W · 139 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x362d…0c58backed Lucia Bronzetti63c38.72$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.339453.2%50 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Lucia Bronzetti65c38.55$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552,39950.6%1,215 W · 1,184 L+76.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6687…b9ddbacked Lucia Bronzetti64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7628454.9%156 W · 128 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f22…0fb4backed Lucia Bronzetti64c38.22$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7643752.2%228 W · 209 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Lucia Bronzetti60c38.13$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2557267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Lucia Bronzetti65c33.8$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.838543.5%37 W · 48 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Varvara Lepchenko44c32.95$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.513458.2%78 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Lucia Bronzetti67c32.53$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.671,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6442…d68bbacked Lucia Bronzetti59c32.19$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.215146.4%70 W · 81 L-14.1wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-16.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3d28…87b5backed Lucia Bronzetti79c31.25$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.5612070%84 W · 36 L+7.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Varvara Lepchenko44c31.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7136135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6134…c8ccbacked Varvara Lepchenko42c29.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5534957.6%201 W · 148 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5ce…daa7backed Lucia Bronzetti73c26.41$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c89…1c52backed Lucia Bronzetti78c25.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.69875%6 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f47…742ebacked Lucia Bronzetti62c25.21$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.51752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Lucia Bronzetti71c20.76$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0252457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeba9…14a3backed Lucia Bronzetti77c19.21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.424266.7%28 W · 14 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4950…3df3backed Lucia Bronzetti74c15.27$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.024551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.