Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Maddalena Giordano vs Lourdes Ayala
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x22f404d946bcda356c6bfc19b532775f06d40bd85d23ffa93aaa4c6e649db776
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lourdes Ayalaof Maddalena Giordano, Lourdes Ayala
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,428
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,347
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,428 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lourdes Ayala | 66c | 1,115$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.85 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maddalena Giordano | 62c | 637.51$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.65 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lourdes Ayala | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Maddalena Giordano | 29c | 526.82$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.99 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lourdes Ayala | 47c | 465.6$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.27 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Maddalena Giordano | 52c | 449.31$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.64 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maddalena Giordano | 34c | 430.01$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed Lourdes Ayala | 28c | 303.57$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.57 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +61%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Maddalena Giordano | 52c | 272.79$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.85 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Lourdes Ayala | 48c | 230$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 232 | 47%109 W · 123 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Maddalena Giordano | 54c | 194.44$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Maddalena Giordano | 53c | 144$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.32 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Maddalena Giordano | 53c | 105$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.65 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Maddalena Giordano | 41c | 98.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Maddalena Giordano | 33c | 88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.04 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lourdes Ayala | 59c | 71.33$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lourdes Ayala | 46c | 68.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.96 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Lourdes Ayala | 48c | 64.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maddalena Giordano | 34c | 61.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5134…abeebacked Maddalena Giordano | 54c | 55.66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maddalena Giordano | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf006…bb6cbacked Lourdes Ayala | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Lourdes Ayala | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Maddalena Giordano | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lourdes Ayala | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Maddalena Giordano | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Lourdes Ayala | 47c | 22.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.87 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.