Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Bergs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x236b3b7f2345b7f6bac722f1643696a84f085b56502977b96654c5fb1e31cb30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bergsof Humbert, Bergs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,641
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Bergs | 36c | 999.98$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.24 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Humbert | 65c | 771.39$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.01 | 176 | 54%95 W · 81 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Humbert | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 625 | 57.6%360 W · 265 L | -18.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bergs | 39c | 598.86$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.3 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Humbert | 64c | 542$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.48 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f55…2181backed Humbert | 38c | 404.72$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.41 | 128 | 39.8%51 W · 77 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Bergs | 34c | 256.99$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.61 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Bergs | 54c | 198.32$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.26 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Bergs | 59c | 160.38$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.96 | 2,433 | 50.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L | +81.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Humbert | 19c | 157$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Humbert | 46c | 128$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.88 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Bergs | 37c | 99.76$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.85 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Bergs | 63c | 86.03$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 208 | 50%104 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Bergs | 65c | 75$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 346 | 50.6%175 W · 171 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bergs | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 432 | 50.5%218 W · 214 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Bergs | 37c | 52.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bergs | 65c | 49.32$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.26 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bergs | 37c | 42.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Humbert | 65c | 38.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Bergs | 35c | 38.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Bergs | 52c | 38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.24 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Bergs | 58c | 34.2$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Humbert | 45c | 33.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Bergs | 38c | 29.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Humbert | 45c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed Humbert | 63c | 20.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4228…b838backed Humbert | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Humbert vs Bergsthis page
- Humbert vs. Bergs: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Bergs: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Humbert vs. Bergs: Match O/U 40.5Over won
- Set 2 Winner: Humbert vs BergsBergs won
- Set 3 Winner: Humbert vs BergsHumbert won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-1.5) vs Bergs (+1.5)Bergs won
- Set Handicap: Humbert (-2.5) vs Bergs (+2.5)Bergs won
- Ugo Humbert vs. Zizou Bergs: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou BergsZizou Bergs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.