Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23ac951165075949b279fb40de9e99f745877158fbb5fab921599257743fb473
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NAVI Juniorof REBORN, NAVI Junior
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,260
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked REBORN | 54c | 5,161$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,786.82 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NAVI Junior | 46c | 3,391$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.76 | 1,428 | 51.2%731 W · 697 L | +48.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed NAVI Junior | 46c | 1,724$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.96 | 238 | 36.1%86 W · 152 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed REBORN | 55c | 998.98$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.44 | 93 | 71%66 W · 27 L | +15.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NAVI Junior | 59c | 869$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.48 | 146 | 53.4%78 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed REBORN | 43c | 310.53$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.53 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed NAVI Junior | 40c | 308$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NAVI Junior | 46c | 290.79$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.54 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked REBORN | 69c | 279.81$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.89 | 145 | 34.5%50 W · 95 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed NAVI Junior | 46c | 253.21$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.38 | 375 | 45.6%171 W · 204 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed NAVI Junior | 43c | 232.86$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.86 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2669…fa0dbacked REBORN | 18c | 218.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked NAVI Junior | 45c | 215.34$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.44 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed REBORN | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.28 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NAVI Junior | 36c | 169$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.61 | 1,001 | 45.9%459 W · 542 L | -28.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NAVI Junior | 45c | 150$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.98 | 1,261 | 49.6%625 W · 636 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed REBORN | 70c | 139.31$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.96 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b5f…3492backed REBORN | 76c | 136.95$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 125.54$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1,619 | 45.1%730 W · 889 L | -25.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked NAVI Junior | 45c | 112.9$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.1 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked REBORN | 41c | 106.91$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 918 | 33%303 W · 615 L | -91.4wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed NAVI Junior | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed REBORN | 56c | 95.85$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.03 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc347…8ee3backed NAVI Junior | 44c | 95$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked REBORN | 51c | 89.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.37 | 1,318 | 43.9%578 W · 740 L | -44.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed REBORN | 74c | 80.92$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 1,284 | 32.1%412 W · 872 L | -67.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed REBORN | 47c | 74.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed NAVI Junior | 53c | 73.45$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b35…1dcebacked NAVI Junior | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16f8…ddcfbacked REBORN | 70c | 57.31$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked NAVI Junior | 56c | 51.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked REBORN | 52c | 47.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 853 | 38%324 W · 529 L | -52.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked REBORN | 30c | 36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1,614 | 37.5%605 W · 1,009 L | -75.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked REBORN | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 281 | 61.2%172 W · 109 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed NAVI Junior | 49c | 32.86$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…4da8backed REBORN | 54c | 27.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.31per pick | 47cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - VCL EMEA: PlayoffsNAVI Junior won
- Valorant: REBORN vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 WinnerNAVI Junior won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.