CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23e05281e7e3aa2db081f4fae2458bf5c2b92b42374718054e2f8810da779da9

Rebuilt 4 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Sharksof Sharks, 100 Thieves
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,647
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $46,550

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,647 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf070…ac55backed 100 Thieves	58c	8,888$5,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,155.03	333	43.8%146 W · 187 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks	43c	3,214$1,368 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.07	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed Sharks	42c	2,905$1,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,684.76	418	47.1%197 W · 221 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16b…b541backed 100 Thieves	54c	2,340$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.59	434	55.1%239 W · 195 L	+13.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Sharks	44c	1,630$719 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$910.92	325	42.2%137 W · 188 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked Sharks	42c	1,598$671 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$926.84	245	38.4%94 W · 151 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks	53c	1,178$625 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$552.24	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7767…4fb2backed Sharks	45c	1,142$511 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$631.22	122	59.8%73 W · 49 L	+7.0wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked 100 Thieves	55c	999.97$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549.98	352	42.9%151 W · 201 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d24…20b3backed Sharks	73c	997.33$726 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$271.68	435	44.6%194 W · 241 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves	52c	754.3$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$394.14	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Sharks	76c	592.59$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.52	378	59.5%225 W · 153 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	59cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks	71c	545.83$386 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$160.06	6,480	42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L	-79.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Sharks	77c	477.85$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.03	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aee…8796backed Sharks	44c	451.11$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$251.11	282	54.6%154 W · 128 L	-9.0wins	-0.03per pick	58cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6bf…05b6backed 100 Thieves	5c	450$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	87	24.1%21 W · 66 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	30cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves	44c	433.09$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$189.29	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd46e…d10dbacked 100 Thieves	42c	355.09$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	530	34.7%184 W · 346 L	-32.8wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9d17…9054backed Sharks	72c	312$225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.4	25	60%15 W · 10 L	+3.4wins	+0.14per pick	46cpaid	+217.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves	13c	302$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.86	5,287	31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L	-383.3wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed 100 Thieves	28c	300$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84	169	35.5%60 W · 109 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9227…7cedbacked 100 Thieves	18c	300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	398	47.7%190 W · 208 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89ff…a8f2backed 100 Thieves	59c	235.56$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139	112	43.8%49 W · 63 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05e…04cebacked Sharks	59c	221.47$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.47	192	59.4%114 W · 78 L	-5.0wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Sharks	45c	215$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.25	2,604	52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L	+98.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sharks	44c	200$88 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves	61c	200$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122	364	46.7%170 W · 194 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked 100 Thieves	21c	181.5$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.88	4,933	37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L	-249.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves	59c	169.49$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1,710	52.3%895 W · 815 L	-73.4wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce7a…fef0backed 100 Thieves	59c	169.2$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	141	35.5%50 W · 91 L	-6.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa442…dca3backed Sharks	79c	132.91$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.91	302	54.3%164 W · 138 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 100 Thieves	23c	128.04$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.71	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked 100 Thieves	26c	119.72$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.76	1,398	48.4%676 W · 722 L	+11.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sharks	39c	116$45 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.76	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe601…84ecbacked Sharks	44c	115$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.55	488	45.7%223 W · 265 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed Sharks	41c	100$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59	587	62.2%365 W · 222 L	+20.9wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc84f…bb5bbacked 100 Thieves	20c	100$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	68	44.1%30 W · 38 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Sharks	54c	99.8$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45.8	230	38.3%88 W · 142 L	-15.3wins	-0.07per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf012…7354backed 100 Thieves	29c	86.6$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.19per pick	44cpaid	-62.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87e5…74f7backed 100 Thieves	60c	85$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.64	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-10.5wins	-0.26per pick	45cpaid	-54.8%equal weight	32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Sharks	69c	70.74$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.78	4,691	43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L	-83.2wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-21.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves	30c	69.18$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.76	2,102	16.8%353 W · 1,749 L	-286.5wins	-0.14per pick	30cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	35-0.13 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Sharks	68c	68$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.76	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves	27c	64.06$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.05	270	15.2%41 W · 229 L	-41.9wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-54.7%equal weight	34-0.14 edge/pick
0x299f…2c50backed Sharks	49c	64.03$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.88	721	39.7%286 W · 435 L	-25.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Sharks	44c	56.31$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.31	1,248	41.3%516 W · 732 L	+5.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3092…789abacked Sharks	72c	55.56$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.56	51	49%25 W · 26 L	-4.3wins	-0.08per pick	58cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked 100 Thieves	58c	55$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.9	840	37.9%318 W · 522 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8705…edbabacked 100 Thieves	53c	50$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	401	40.6%163 W · 238 L	-10.0wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a00…d958backed Sharks	79c	49.37$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.37	316	62.7%198 W · 118 L	+8.1wins	+0.03per pick	60cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x45a7…bc63backed Sharks	42c	47.62$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.62	88	47.7%42 W · 46 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked 100 Thieves	49c	41.89$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.7	225	34.2%77 W · 148 L	-19.3wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves	56c	35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	2,061	50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L	-18.7wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6a0…2212backed 100 Thieves	39c	31.87$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.43	345	47.5%164 W · 181 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked 100 Thieves	57c	30$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.1	1,043	57.3%598 W · 445 L	+17.5wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Sharks	73c	26$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.12	2,362	46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L	-53.1wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82a2…a875backed Sharks	43c	25.58$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.58	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7479…e171backed 100 Thieves	55c	22.82$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.55	101	33.7%34 W · 67 L	-14.2wins	-0.14per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0x0a7f…e4a4backed Sharks	79c	18.99$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3.99	24	58.3%14 W · 10 L	+1.8wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5471…a236backed Sharks	58c	17.62$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.4	250	42.8%107 W · 143 L	-9.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSharks won
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 WinnerSharks won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event