CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0517c116356676555fb90888c7408e6665c56df8ced4ca970844f3e121fd10d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Sharks, 100 Thieves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,294
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Sharks | 67c | 3,109$2,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.68 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed 100 Thieves | 65c | 2,500$1,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.99 | 450 | 58.9%265 W · 185 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sharks | 44c | 1,524$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.13 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Sharks | 47c | 1,381$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.41 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf981…44b7backed 100 Thieves | 49c | 1,232$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.48 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed 100 Thieves | 54c | 1,200$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed 100 Thieves | 32c | 1,028$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.25 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Sharks | 33c | 999.98$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.99 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Sharks | 35c | 842.86$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.86 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 767.51$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.77 | 364 | 46.7%170 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed 100 Thieves | 67c | 746.49$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sharks | 37c | 681.78$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.79 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sharks | 53c | 520.76$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 100 Thieves | 28c | 464.62$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.75 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Sharks | 46c | 409.82$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.3 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sharks | 35c | 387.95$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.17 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 349$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.78 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Sharks | 58c | 343.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.64 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Sharks | 66c | 338.18$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.28 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Sharks | 54c | 314$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.72 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed 100 Thieves | 4c | 300.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked 100 Thieves | 51c | 299.99$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.99 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed 100 Thieves | 51c | 295.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.55 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed Sharks | 52c | 222.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed 100 Thieves | 18c | 211.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.78 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 208$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.96 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed 100 Thieves | 35c | 191.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -23.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 191.5$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7f…2ae7backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 178.88$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.91 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed 100 Thieves | 57c | 174.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 141 | 35.5%50 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked 100 Thieves | 58c | 158.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked 100 Thieves | 25c | 150.47$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sharks | 46c | 147.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ff…a8f2backed Sharks | 55c | 140.63$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.87 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d17…9054backed Sharks | 57c | 138$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +217.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Sharks | 73c | 137.11$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.11 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed 100 Thieves | 48c | 121.34$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.4 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked 100 Thieves | 43c | 113.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -17.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed 100 Thieves | 33c | 106$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Sharks | 62c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…21a7backed 100 Thieves | 47c | 103.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3092…789abacked Sharks | 70c | 101.43$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.81 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Sharks | 66c | 97.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 334 | 59%197 W · 137 L | +24.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1aee…8796backed 100 Thieves | 56c | 96.43$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 282 | 54.6%154 W · 128 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…0539backed 100 Thieves | 42c | 95.23$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Sharks | 59c | 93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.68 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked 100 Thieves | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked 100 Thieves | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sharks | 34c | 71.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed 100 Thieves | 37c | 65.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.91 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed 100 Thieves | 40c | 62.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.68 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked 100 Thieves | 35c | 57.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked 100 Thieves | 34c | 55.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Sharks | 33c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked 100 Thieves | 47c | 42.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…bc63backed Sharks | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed 100 Thieves | 55c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…9934backed 100 Thieves | 43c | 34.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4f…03acbacked 100 Thieves | 49c | 30.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed 100 Thieves | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9c…5369backed Sharks | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 187 | 58.3%109 W · 78 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Sharks | 75c | 28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a3…96b3backed 100 Thieves | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed 100 Thieves | 62c | 24.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7f…e4a4backed Sharks | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Sharks | 54c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked 100 Thieves | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 445 | 63.8%284 W · 161 L | +19.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2: Closed Qualifier PlayoffsSharks won
- Counter-Strike: Sharks vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: 100T (-1.5) vs Sharks (+1.5)Sharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.