Tennis · resolved market
Lexington: Andres Andrade vs Andre Ilagan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x240fe2baa23705d9e9b169e730034702be10e499e2a6151c332f1c6b91f30cb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andre Ilaganof Andres Andrade, Andre Ilagan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc13f…c336backed Andres Andrade | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 221 | 23.1%51 W · 170 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Andres Andrade | 25c | 1,436$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.2 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Andre Ilagan | 76c | 986$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.64 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andres Andrade | 40c | 807.24$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.86 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14a2…704cbacked Andres Andrade | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 144 | 18.1%26 W · 118 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cc…b660backed Andres Andrade | 4c | 713.22$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.53 | 70 | 17.1%12 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Andre Ilagan | 54c | 703.58$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.65 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Andre Ilagan | 51c | 637.12$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.19 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Andres Andrade | 29c | 602.25$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.54 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Andres Andrade | 37c | 547.18$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.51 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andre Ilagan | 74c | 496$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.96 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Andres Andrade | 46c | 421$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.66 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Andre Ilagan | 54c | 285.45$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.55 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Andres Andrade | 47c | 260.23$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91b6…4b40backed Andres Andrade | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 306 | 25.8%79 W · 227 L | -28.6wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Andre Ilagan | 51c | 183.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Andres Andrade | 35c | 160.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.87 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Andres Andrade | 17c | 146$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Andres Andrade | 46c | 137.23$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.13 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Andres Andrade | 46c | 130.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Andre Ilagan | 73c | 117.88$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.83 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Andres Andrade | 45c | 110.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x745c…4425backed Andres Andrade | 48c | 94.37$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Andres Andrade | 40c | 94.04$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Andres Andrade | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Andres Andrade | 29c | 81.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Andres Andrade | 42c | 79.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Andres Andrade | 50c | 62.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.1 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andre Ilagan | 56c | 61.44$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.87 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Andre Ilagan | 73c | 58.45$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Andre Ilagan | 73c | 57.77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…69ddbacked Andre Ilagan | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…89d6backed Andres Andrade | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 50.9%112 W · 108 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Andre Ilagan | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…e773backed Andres Andrade | 49c | 35.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Andres Andrade | 46c | 30.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Andres Andrade | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775e…e94abacked Andres Andrade | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Andre Ilagan | 55c | 26.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Andre Ilagan | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Andre Ilagan | 51c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…9fa1backed Andre Ilagan | 73c | 18.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x427a…4e18backed Andre Ilagan | 55c | 18.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.