TailMyPicks

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CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
G2 Aresof CYBERSHOKE Prospects, G2 Ares
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,278
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,785

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,278 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects1c9,615$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.082,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0ac…7deebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects29c2,514$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.2743152.9%228 W · 203 L+26.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+0.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked G2 Ares18c2,280$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,860.85,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed G2 Ares36c1,777$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.524,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8efe…6704backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects47c1,135$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.0320562.4%128 W · 77 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked G2 Ares45c963.7$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.353,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked G2 Ares29c773.17$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$546.52,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3f1…7535backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects59c673.48$395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.1613342.1%56 W · 77 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed G2 Ares17c519.11$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.9757322.3%128 W · 445 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…b497backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects77c422.77$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.25825%2 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-55.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x218b…625abacked G2 Ares31c409.9$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8922729.1%66 W · 161 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb87…eb45backed G2 Ares50c372.31$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.2510142.6%43 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects60c367.19$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.072,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects55c366.13$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.23,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked G2 Ares27c358.8$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.683,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed G2 Ares24c341$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.345,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects52c313.16$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5540137.2%149 W · 252 L-17.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed G2 Ares33c307.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.3226624.4%65 W · 201 L-26.9wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-33.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0d78…b8b9backed G2 Ares50c292$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14616550.3%83 W · 82 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects43c290.47$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.64,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed G2 Ares40c283.54$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.1420745.9%95 W · 112 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked G2 Ares12c281$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.722,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects49c221.72$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.641,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects53c220.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.362,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a62…fc1abacked G2 Ares33c210.7$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.0413834.8%48 W · 90 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3bf…f4b4backed G2 Ares29c200.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.85425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked G2 Ares45c194.34$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.334,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0da…749bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects45c172.67$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8230223.2%70 W · 232 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed G2 Ares33c141.18$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.591,31944.2%583 W · 736 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects53c138.96$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.122,50841%1,029 W · 1,479 L-115.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects66c135.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9022557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects42c135.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.632,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked G2 Ares29c112.49$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.193,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects63c102.47$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.011,84841.7%770 W · 1,078 L-69.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects50c101.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5138469.5%267 W · 117 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xce3f…e1e1backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects65c100$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects22c82.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.972,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects66c82$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.936446.7%170 W · 194 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked G2 Ares23c80.71$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.242,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc732…adefbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects67c80$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b3f…6816backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects67c75.7$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.032441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects79c72.92$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.954,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked G2 Ares18c57$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.7411831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf594…0a09backed G2 Ares33c57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.19785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+85.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8d6…041dbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.56735.8%24 W · 43 L-13.0wins-0.19per pick55cpaid-41.3%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0xbe0c…c0cdbacked G2 Ares57c45.81$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7921060%126 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed G2 Ares42c43.5$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2349850.2%250 W · 248 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects73c40.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.711,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0xa490…d542backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects70c40$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281070%7 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick66cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x180a…bd66backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects63c39.68$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2516355.2%90 W · 73 L-8.3wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe53b…fe03backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects54c36.69$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8141372.2%298 W · 115 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick66cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb4f…6e10backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects74c33.96$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.218871.8%135 W · 53 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick63cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe660…514fbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects56c33.93$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199938.4%38 W · 61 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-24.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5aa8…efa7backed G2 Ares69c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.34365.1%28 W · 15 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick53cpaid+35.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked G2 Ares43c28.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.452645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3385…cc4bbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects74c27.17$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed G2 Ares48c27.09$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0170042.3%296 W · 404 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd30…9a01backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects44c26.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8628761.3%176 W · 111 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects50c26.51$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.3160954%329 W · 280 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…78e5backed CYBERSHOKE Prospects79c21.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.955444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked G2 Ares66c20.1$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.791,31551.1%672 W · 643 L-99.5wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.