Tennis · resolved market
Set 2 Winner: Virtanen vs Jones
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a742d7c3b725f5655891c7c937b172278ac7270078ca04c79f29f1aa8671c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtanenof Virtanen, Jones
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,866
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,866 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Virtanen | 55c | 985.71$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.57 | 6,649 | 46.3%3,079 W · 3,570 L | -38.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb93…94cfbacked Jones | 47c | 614.8$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.58 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Jones | 46c | 514.28$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.31 | 6,550 | 54.4%3,565 W · 2,985 L | +287.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Virtanen | 55c | 399.99$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 617 | 42%259 W · 358 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Virtanen | 53c | 397$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.59 | 4,684 | 48.3%2,264 W · 2,420 L | +35.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Jones | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4,992 | 38.6%1,927 W · 3,065 L | -19.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Jones | 45c | 198$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.1 | 1,788 | 48.8%872 W · 916 L | +31.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4011…4a39backed Virtanen | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.06 | 110 | 39.1%43 W · 67 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…e3f1backed Jones | 45c | 142.76$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…83adbacked Jones | 45c | 122.13$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…00d5backed Jones | 45c | 121.39$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.63 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02fd…104cbacked Virtanen | 50c | 120.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 324 | 51.5%167 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Virtanen | 50c | 98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.73 | 5,553 | 48.6%2,700 W · 2,853 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Jones | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 988 | 55.5%548 W · 440 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Jones | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 553 | 57%315 W · 238 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Jones | 46c | 60.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Jones | 45c | 51.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.29 | 1,144 | 47.2%540 W · 604 L | +64.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Virtanen | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff41…387abacked Jones | 45c | 31.11$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Virtanen | 43c | 30.79$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 258 | 28.3%73 W · 185 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Jones | 57c | 30.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 163 | 36.8%60 W · 103 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 2 Winner: Virtanen vs Jonesthis page
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Jack Pinnington JonesOtto Virtanen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.