South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24a9bfd98e0d035b36814cc2f427beed5028461cfa486738dbbe2656c747158c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8720…ea73backed Over | 65c | 580.78$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 69c | 551.77$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.91 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 63c | 436.43$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.67 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 298.74$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.66 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Under | 45c | 238.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.91 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 20c | 213.75$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 29c | 170.53$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Over | 55c | 129.8$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 31c | 114.11$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.73 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 84.22$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 72c | 74.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.98 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Under | 42c | 70.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Under | 37c | 67.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Under | 32c | 60.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.46 | 98 | 26.5%26 W · 72 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 45c | 58.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Over | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 57c | 44.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 63c | 29.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.43 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…39e0backed Over | 63c | 20.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +8.0wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +95.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea6…dcf5backed Over | 69c | 19.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 63c | 18.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5this page
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Club Independiente Petrolero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.