South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf184180c4848706d0e38efbe91797d91d225aa813a0034592df23f10986684d1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Club Independiente Petroleroof Racing Club, Club Independiente Petrolero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 52c | 41,596$21,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,066.27 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Racing Club | 41c | 36,201$14,736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,735.87 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Racing Club | 47c | 15,051$7,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,070.44 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 8,316$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,409.56 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Racing Club | 45c | 2,333$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.2 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Racing Club | 48c | 1,515$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.23 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Racing Club | 48c | 1,475$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.23 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Racing Club | 48c | 1,457$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.51 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 776.31$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.99 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 600$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 592$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.72 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 500$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Racing Club | 48c | 392.04$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 368.07$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.91 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 343.19$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.78 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe11…18cfbacked Racing Club | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Racing Club | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Racing Club | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47fb…0c7bbacked Racing Club | 48c | 300$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.6 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 260$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 165 | 59.4%98 W · 67 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 252.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.03 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 249.47$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 240$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.4 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Racing Club | 48c | 204$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.92 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked Racing Club | 48c | 200.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.48 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Racing Club | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…8d0fbacked Racing Club | 48c | 196.02$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.09 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 193.27$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Racing Club | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 156$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 216 | 57.9%125 W · 91 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 58c | 139.25$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.38 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 52c | 138.52$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.49 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed Racing Club | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Racing Club | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Racing Club | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +93.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Racing Club | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 97.31$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 96.27$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd147…ecbdbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 57c | 91.29$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.43 | 186 | 31.2%58 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 80.8$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.13 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Racing Club | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 117 | 63.2%74 W · 43 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Racing Club | 47c | 74.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.25 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…b388backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 70.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Racing Club | 47c | 67.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 65.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Racing Club | 49c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Racing Club | 38c | 49.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94b9…2592backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 60c | 42.55$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Racing Club | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Racing Club | 44c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 36.42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Racing Club | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 172 | 55.2%95 W · 77 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Racing Club | 42c | 34.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…bb68backed Racing Club | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x856e…438abacked Racing Club | 48c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3c…fc78backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 30.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 57c | 29.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e4…c62abacked Racing Club | 48c | 25.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…92e3backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Racing Club | 51c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 425 | 62.4%265 W · 160 L | +25.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c4…4080backed Racing Club | 47c | 22.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9b21backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 53c | 21.5$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf129…1edcbacked Racing Club | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -5.9wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Racing Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.