South American Leagues · resolved market
Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffed6aa9391af6fefe63ba8666ed3ee474caff39349c45d28cd1f449be84bb66
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,870
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,289
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,870 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 46c | 2,551$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.02 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 53c | 1,162$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.14 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over | 48c | 714.17$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.8 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Under | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 54c | 654.18$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.92 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 65c | 557.29$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.78 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cd…6b95backed Over | 35c | 257.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 123 | 40.7%50 W · 73 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Over | 46c | 247.35$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.78 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabce…2f87backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 52c | 239.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.2 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 47c | 217$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.99 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 198$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.06 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 53c | 195.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.24 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 34c | 161.44$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Under | 50c | 132.04$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b02…7939backed Over | 39c | 101$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 53c | 90.13$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.31 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Under | 56c | 48.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.63 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.72 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Under | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 55c | 36.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 46c | 29.72$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcd…b8dbbacked Under | 60c | 16.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5this page
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)Racing Club won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Club Independiente Petrolero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.