South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf63a97a5e0e9bc5797934061cfc9c4142028702b134d1abe0145df98d9b72205
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Racing Clubof Racing Club, Club Independiente Petrolero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,596
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,943
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,596 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Racing Club | 62c | 25,000$15,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.93 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 5,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 4,308$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.52 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.04 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 3,385$1,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.88 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 37c | 2,142$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.51 | 1,303 | 50.1%653 W · 650 L | -14.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…1dfcbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 41c | 1,655$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.97 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 1,449$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 40c | 1,127$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.56 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 975.45$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.67 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 934.21$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 152 | 47.4%72 W · 80 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 668.18$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.83 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Racing Club | 60c | 505$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.22 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Racing Club | 63c | 432.09$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.5wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 404.68$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.78 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Racing Club | 60c | 340.78$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.82 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 289.74$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.1 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Racing Club | 62c | 266.24$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.16 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 222.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.53 | 129 | 45%58 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Racing Club | 57c | 219$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.17 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Racing Club | 67c | 180$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 180$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 161.95$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.54 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 135.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Racing Club | 66c | 116.64$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.3 | 173 | 52%90 W · 83 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Racing Club | 56c | 95.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f76…3c44backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 93.42$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 65.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 52.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 52.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Racing Club | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…28b8backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 45.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…2ebcbacked Racing Club | 61c | 41.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.03 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 117 | 47.9%56 W · 61 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 37.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 77 | 61%47 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ac…e602backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 30.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ec…f645backed Racing Club | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked Racing Club | 59c | 28.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Club Independiente Petrolero | 38c | 27.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Racing Club (-1.5)this page
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 1.5Over won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 2.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 3.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 4.5Under won
- Racing Club vs. Club Independiente Petrolero: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Racing Club (-2.5)Club Independiente Petrolero won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.