MLB · resolved market
Brewers vs. White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24eac4deca5434745592dd90ac70ea5f6549fc9134e49b36e4fdf22890bd4ac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Brewersof Brewers, White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,247
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa774…dcafbacked White Sox | 42c | 4,614$1,935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,935.13 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd656…d127backed Brewers | 58c | 2,098$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.16 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Brewers | 75c | 1,709$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.28 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Brewers | 76c | 1,314$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.29 | 311 | 45.7%142 W · 169 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed White Sox | 28c | 841.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.84 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed White Sox | 40c | 835.5$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Brewers | 58c | 693.62$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.32 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Brewers | 67c | 542.07$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed White Sox | 20c | 500$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.81 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5c…ccbdbacked Brewers | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed White Sox | 18c | 401.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.25 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked White Sox | 39c | 331.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.15 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Brewers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Brewers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked White Sox | 26c | 263.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.93 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Brewers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Brewers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Brewers | 58c | 113$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.46 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Brewers | 60c | 110.7$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef63…96cbbacked Brewers | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 467 | 53.7%251 W · 216 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Brewers | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 736 | 53%390 W · 346 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed White Sox | 23c | 72.01$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.91 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Brewers | 60c | 53.67$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.47 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02c7…3df7backed Brewers | 59c | 50.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Brewers | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Brewers | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…f52abacked Brewers | 60c | 16.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.