CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x24f9f5a83bbac37897e2bff06a98cffac17be8fd21b3e95829095fdbfa9a0a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- RUSTECof Hashiras, RUSTEC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,182
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,182 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked RUSTEC | 46c | 1,248$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.68 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Hashiras | 54c | 929.85$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.12 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Hashiras | 51c | 832.56$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.37 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed RUSTEC | 53c | 504.9$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed RUSTEC | 46c | 417$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.18 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95a9…4352backed Hashiras | 55c | 361.45$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.8 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 37c | 329.46$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed RUSTEC | 46c | 293.17$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.91 | 232 | 45.3%105 W · 127 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed RUSTEC | 35c | 288.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.02 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Hashiras | 61c | 276$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 172 | 46.5%80 W · 92 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed Hashiras | 37c | 269.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Hashiras | 57c | 194.46$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.71 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hashiras | 64c | 181.17$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.26 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed RUSTEC | 46c | 179.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.72 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 23c | 174.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Hashiras | 33c | 173.67$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Hashiras | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hashiras | 55c | 123.08$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e2e…b5a5backed RUSTEC | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +18.3wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3187…9476backed RUSTEC | 47c | 92.27$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.26 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed RUSTEC | 48c | 81.78$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.82 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed RUSTEC | 46c | 77.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 476 | 41.6%198 W · 278 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked RUSTEC | 52c | 77.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.33 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed RUSTEC | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6094…e237backed Hashiras | 55c | 63.05$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedaa…89b4backed RUSTEC | 46c | 57.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 245 | 35.9%88 W · 157 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked Hashiras | 54c | 55.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.25 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Hashiras | 33c | 55.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked RUSTEC | 48c | 54.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…4761backed RUSTEC | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Hashiras | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe253…b9c7backed Hashiras | 28c | 47.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked RUSTEC | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Hashiras | 40c | 37.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 93 | 26.9%25 W · 68 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed RUSTEC | 62c | 33.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…cc22backed RUSTEC | 46c | 32.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.44 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 41c | 31.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e27…d603backed Hashiras | 55c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed RUSTEC | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Hashiras | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Hashiras | 52c | 22.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #20 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Hashiras vs RUSTEC - Map 1 WinnerRUSTEC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.