MLB · resolved market
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x250a0ec2c7ee1583ffada410027b7a8ef9976e9e915ab7275fc738a864388e99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Angelsof Los Angeles Angels, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,944
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,944 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2165…f598backed Los Angeles Angels | 18c | 5,623$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,610.63 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Athletics | 63c | 759$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 465 | 47.1%219 W · 246 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Athletics | 45c | 293.08$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.79 | 547 | 15.9%87 W · 460 L | -40.7wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 293$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.49 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Athletics | 63c | 289$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.07 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 253$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.87 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Los Angeles Angels | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.24per pick | 11cpaid | +228.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 207.09$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.47 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Los Angeles Angels | 36c | 200$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Athletics | 62c | 182.94$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.42 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb691…b39dbacked Los Angeles Angels | 54c | 148$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.1 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4913…d01bbacked Los Angeles Angels | 39c | 127.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.76 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Los Angeles Angels | 20c | 110.32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.64 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Los Angeles Angels | 38c | 78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.42 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Athletics | 54c | 72$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b22…acb2backed Los Angeles Angels | 37c | 53.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Los Angeles Angels | 22c | 48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.3 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Los Angeles Angels | 40c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Athletics | 62c | 21.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.22 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed Athletics | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -5.4wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Athletics | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Athletics | 63c | 15.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c00…bfebbacked Athletics | 74c | 14.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.