Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Youngstown State Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25335ecfbb6537d2fa67d4a92c77ecb09f3ad8d446566c921df9543b1f7925d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodonsof Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons, Youngstown State Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,258
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 14c | 3,540$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.98 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 51c | 2,190$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.71 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 43c | 1,268$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.83 | 158 | 61.4%97 W · 61 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Youngstown State Penguins | 62c | 1,192$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.81 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Youngstown State Penguins | 57c | 905$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.36 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Youngstown State Penguins | 50c | 834.84$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.03 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e7…caa8backed Youngstown State Penguins | 2c | 800$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 147 | 8.8%13 W · 134 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Youngstown State Penguins | 47c | 751.38$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.74 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…ad90backed Youngstown State Penguins | 4c | 400$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 104 | 8.7%9 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1c…dc02backed Youngstown State Penguins | 3c | 366.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Youngstown State Penguins | 23c | 361.78$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.54 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 40c | 290$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Youngstown State Penguins | 62c | 268.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.41 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 50c | 227.53$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.7 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6cb…7b9bbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 72c | 146.66$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.23 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 69c | 103$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons | 30c | 33.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Youngstown State Penguins | 52c | 30.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Youngstown State Penguins | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Youngstown State Penguins | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Youngstown State Penguinsthis page
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 144.5Under won
- Purdue Fort Wayne Mastodons vs. Youngstown State Penguins: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.