Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x254ab2d72d496da7d5e2c0a601bfa4e528f5dd419168091a8b73c369ea5b2077
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,864
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $59,533
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,864 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 2c | 5,028$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…2e6abacked Yes | 30c | 4,860$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.09 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 4c | 4,587$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.03 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 70c | 3,012$2,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.6 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 2,904$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.08 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 9c | 1,073$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 2,538 | 39.8%1,009 W · 1,529 L | -8.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 691.58$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.36 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 30c | 659.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.96 | 640 | 43.9%281 W · 359 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 60c | 651.13$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.45 | 446 | 55.4%247 W · 199 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 40c | 510.46$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.48 | 435 | 32.2%140 W · 295 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed No | 50c | 388$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194 | 240 | 50.4%121 W · 119 L | +18.5wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4cad…0303backed Yes | 50c | 342.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.72 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 120.82$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 330 | 47.3%156 W · 174 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed No | 70c | 100.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 30c | 91.16$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 85.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 25c | 84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…04e4backed No | 78c | 57.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +10.0wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +41.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 125 | 60.8%76 W · 49 L | +12.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8858…ed3ebacked Yes | 52c | 39.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 36.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 398 | 57.5%229 W · 169 L | +20.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 51c | 31.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 174 | 56.9%99 W · 75 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked No | 65c | 30.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 108 | 65.7%71 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed No | 72c | 29.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca9…0898backed Yes | 45c | 22.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 48c | 20.84$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked Yes | 50c | 20.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 71c | 19.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7418…251fbacked No | 73c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf19b…4db7backed No | 71c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 71c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will DSC Arminia Bielefeld win on 2026-04-25?Yes won
- Will SC Preußen Münster vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.