Tennis · resolved market
Mauthausen: Roman Safiullin vs Cezar Cretu
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x259f68828d39beccdea9aac3a70cbca6dba4907de7817bc6a6ca26add4a089d7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Roman Safiullinof Roman Safiullin, Cezar Cretu
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,228
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,438
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,228 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Cezar Cretu | 3c | 3,390$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.32 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cezar Cretu | 8c | 2,610$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…d7a5backed Roman Safiullin | 80c | 2,471$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.66 | 536 | 55.4%297 W · 239 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cezar Cretu | 20c | 2,100$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cezar Cretu | 10c | 1,533$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9762…73fbbacked Roman Safiullin | 80c | 1,408$1,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.34 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 77cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Cezar Cretu | 15c | 1,023$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.44 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 738.95$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.55 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cezar Cretu | 6c | 540.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Cezar Cretu | 19c | 540.5$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.68 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cezar Cretu | 21c | 507.14$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.31 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Roman Safiullin | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 454 | 45.4%206 W · 248 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Cezar Cretu | 12c | 473.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.83 | 33 | 6.1%2 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Cezar Cretu | 23c | 450$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Cezar Cretu | 22c | 446.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.39 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cezar Cretu | 10c | 392.72$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Roman Safiullin | 77c | 384.23$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.37 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…f7bebacked Roman Safiullin | 78c | 349.68$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.93 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448d…3adebacked Cezar Cretu | 22c | 304.36$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.96 | 322 | 47.2%152 W · 170 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Cezar Cretu | 20c | 303.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cezar Cretu | 20c | 278$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Roman Safiullin | 76c | 244.98$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.81 | 977 | 45.2%442 W · 535 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Cezar Cretu | 22c | 244.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.71 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Cezar Cretu | 15c | 236.94$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.56 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Roman Safiullin | 78c | 198.56$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012d…9db6backed Roman Safiullin | 77c | 115.81$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 849 | 68.4%581 W · 268 L | +25.9wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Cezar Cretu | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 491 | 42.8%210 W · 281 L | -15.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Cezar Cretu | 23c | 64.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Roman Safiullin | 76c | 64.84$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Cezar Cretu | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…271cbacked Roman Safiullin | 77c | 57.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Roman Safiullin | 76c | 51.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Cezar Cretu | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Cezar Cretu | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Roman Safiullin | 76c | 46.62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.