Tennis · resolved market

Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Marin Cilic

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25b206075f6e22abd680784cbb20e01808d2c158f8526b8660298f5a15bbfed9

Rebuilt 3 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Cilicof Jones, Cilic
Resolved: Feb 13, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $167,130
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $219,415

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,130 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tennis
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Jones	9c	20,776$1,930 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,930.22	2,746	30.8%846 W · 1,900 L	-67.1wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Jones	23c	19,011$4,373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,372.56	761	40.6%309 W · 452 L	-15.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jones	10c	8,072$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.24	8,241	45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L	+166.2wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jones	8c	7,890$641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$641.32	2,865	44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Cilic	77c	4,756$3,656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,099.84	239	45.6%109 W · 130 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x216f…03bbbacked Jones	3c	3,780$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	82	62.2%51 W · 31 L	+5.8wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa26b…b267backed Jones	24c	3,700$888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$888	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Jones	11c	3,315$352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.71	1,410	38.4%542 W · 868 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-25%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Jones	11c	3,039$338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.19	6,792	36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L	-98.2wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Cilic	79c	2,750$2,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$564.11	813	49.1%399 W · 414 L	+21.6wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8586…8207backed Jones	25c	2,200$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf819…d410backed Jones	27c	1,689$452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$452.42	56	58.9%33 W · 23 L	+4.5wins	+0.08per pick	51cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Cilic	77c	1,629$1,254 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$374.67	659	59%389 W · 270 L	-31.9wins	-0.05per pick	64cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Jones	11c	1,368$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.34	2,982	39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L	-109.1wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4b1…4fdbbacked Cilic	76c	1,300$988 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$312	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.31per pick	64cpaid	-56.4%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Cilic	77c	1,100$847 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253	454	57.9%263 W · 191 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Jones	12c	1,047$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.39	970	46.6%452 W · 518 L	-8.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Jones	4c	1,010$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	656	47.6%312 W · 344 L	+17.8wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x897d…bddebacked Cilic	76c	1,000$760 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.25per pick	58cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Jones	26c	1,000$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	576	45.5%262 W · 314 L	+4.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c1f…2289backed Cilic	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-2.9wins	-0.41per pick	55cpaid	-81%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb07b…6dfbbacked Cilic	76c	800$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	63cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc4f…2a37backed Cilic	76c	800$608 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Cilic	75c	800$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$200.1	632	47.6%301 W · 331 L	-15.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Jones	12c	790$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.63	1,008	46%464 W · 544 L	-19.0wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Jones	22c	681.22$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.87	112	15.2%17 W · 95 L	-6.9wins	-0.06per pick	21cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1551…1ff8backed Cilic	76c	600$456 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	67cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbe…4d6abacked Jones	24c	600$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$144	57	35.1%20 W · 37 L	+4.1wins	+0.07per pick	28cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Jones	30c	446$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.36	254	28%71 W · 183 L	-13.4wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc65…7379backed Jones	12c	400$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-70.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd211…628bbacked Cilic	77c	390.87$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.87	44	61.4%27 W · 17 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	64cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…6405backed Cilic	77c	390.33$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.33	51	56.9%29 W · 22 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Cilic	74c	337$249 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.62	279	36.2%101 W · 178 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Jones	25c	322$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.73	381	33.9%129 W · 252 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Jones	4c	300$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.07	459	9.6%44 W · 415 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09b6…f48dbacked Cilic	71c	299$212 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$86.71	320	50%160 W · 160 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Jones	24c	290.99$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.84	1,414	41.1%581 W · 833 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Jones	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	466	49.8%232 W · 234 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204d…1d52backed Cilic	75c	200$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b8…180bbacked Cilic	76c	200$152 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.15per pick	58cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Jones	23c	200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	1,090	35.9%391 W · 699 L	+16.2wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f0f…a571backed Jones	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	373	39.1%146 W · 227 L	-11.7wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Jones	20c	191.34$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.45	6,840	48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L	+58.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Cilic	76c	186.49$142 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.76	491	43%211 W · 280 L	-15.1wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Jones	27c	185.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	658	40.9%269 W · 389 L	-5.1wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa56a…3072backed Jones	6c	179.58$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed Jones	9c	179$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.53	156	48.7%76 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	44cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Cilic	76c	155$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.2	432	42.4%183 W · 249 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Jones	17c	143.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	333	26.4%88 W · 245 L	-14.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Cilic	78c	131.8$103 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	1,218	41.1%500 W · 718 L	-30.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5067…a127backed Cilic	76c	131.58$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.58	107	56.1%60 W · 47 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf788…5ebbbacked Jones	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.8wins	-0.29per pick	46cpaid	-74.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xabee…4f3fbacked Jones	25c	113.76$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.44	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.13per pick	53cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cilic	73c	110.89$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.09	1,039	54.6%567 W · 472 L	+37.6wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Jones	14c	104.86$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.68	2,087	54.1%1,130 W · 957 L	+64.7wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Jones	25c	100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	149	40.9%61 W · 88 L	-7.6wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Jones	19c	100$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	186	44.6%83 W · 103 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Jones	27c	100$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	1,212	33.1%401 W · 811 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8666…a368backed Jones	26c	96.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.2	63	27%17 W · 46 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Cilic	76c	96$73 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	556	41.2%229 W · 327 L	-2.7wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e6f…eb72backed Cilic	75c	84$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46e…db14backed Cilic	76c	82.39$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.77	188	63.8%120 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	66cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Cilic	74c	80$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	587	53.7%315 W · 272 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Cilic	77c	79$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.17	296	61.5%182 W · 114 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf70…7d5fbacked Cilic	76c	78.95$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.95	217	58.1%126 W · 91 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa718…baf1backed Cilic	74c	76$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.76	44	50%22 W · 22 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Cilic	76c	65.79$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.79	260	50.4%131 W · 129 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Cilic	73c	62$46 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.48	7,183	49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L	+112.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Jones	23c	58.89$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.53	3,270	13.8%450 W · 2,820 L	-549.1wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-57.4%equal weight	31-0.17 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Cilic	76c	52.63$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	2,561	63%1,613 W · 948 L	-10.2wins	0.00per pick	63cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0f85…87d5backed Jones	27c	51.36$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	115	47%54 W · 61 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Jones	25c	50.87$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.6	1,245	33.9%422 W · 823 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f27…781dbacked Cilic	75c	50$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.5	23	78.3%18 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	76cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x923b…adbebacked Jones	26c	47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.39	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	26cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfacd…d470backed Cilic	76c	45$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.8	210	72.4%152 W · 58 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	72cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9555…889abacked Cilic	76c	42.11$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.11	580	67.8%393 W · 187 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	67cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbebf…9baebacked Jones	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	908	54.5%495 W · 413 L	+21.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Cilic	75c	37.07$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.27	227	47.6%108 W · 119 L	+14.9wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe3f2…d8b1backed Cilic	77c	36.68$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.5	14	28.6%4 W · 10 L	-2.0wins	-0.14per pick	43cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f01…672cbacked Cilic	76c	32.89$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.89	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Cilic	76c	30.4$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.44	6,652	50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L	+263.6wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa74d…734cbacked Cilic	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.2	284	62.3%177 W · 107 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x000d…9664backed Cilic	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	40	57.5%23 W · 17 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95be…9968backed Cilic	76c	26.32$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.32	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	71cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Cilic	75c	23.3$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.82	530	58.1%308 W · 222 L	+15.8wins	+0.03per pick	55cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1529…555cbacked Cilic	74c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.2	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+43.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Cilic	77c	20$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.6	164	68.9%113 W · 51 L	+7.3wins	+0.04per pick	64cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x781b…bfbcbacked Cilic	76c	19.74$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.74	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.2wins	+0.24per pick	76cpaid	+31.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee3…f07ebacked Cilic	76c	19$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.56	60	68.3%41 W · 19 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	72cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Marin Cilicthis page
Set 1 Winner: Jones vs CilicCilic won
Set Handicap: Cilic (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5)Cilic won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dallas Open: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Marin Cilic

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event