Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Mercyhurst Lakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x25bb6eea36aa4753600a5ba2f47edc834d39c134b9de519c24fb67c156811bef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mercyhurst Lakersof Fairleigh Dickinson Knights, Mercyhurst Lakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,868 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 62c | 1,834$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.35 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe7…820fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 38c | 1,743$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.15 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 1,504$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.63 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 63c | 1,121$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.76 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 20c | 1,065$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 74c | 917.53$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.71 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 60c | 887.17$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.87 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 804.2$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.55 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 19c | 675.54$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.08 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 20c | 565.88$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 546.85$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.82 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 495.8$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.32 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 66c | 474.16$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.26 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 403.45$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.84 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 17c | 316.38$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b8…29dcbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 39c | 259.49$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 245.52$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 200.02$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.95 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 199.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 198.54$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989a…afbcbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 47c | 153.03$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.41 | 703 | 49.6%349 W · 354 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 148.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 19c | 121.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 493 | 45.4%224 W · 269 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 61c | 120.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c3…9792backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 63c | 112.29$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.89 | 270 | 55.6%150 W · 120 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ace…3afdbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 99.16$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 23c | 63.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 40c | 62.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 62.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 56.77$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 253 | 37.5%95 W · 158 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e96…b306backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 38c | 52.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 48c | 51.68$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 35c | 49.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 44.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 229 | 50.7%116 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 74c | 41.22$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 40.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 39c | 37.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 34c | 36.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 51c | 32$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights | 37c | 28.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mercyhurst Lakers | 72c | 25.94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 79c | 24.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 64c | 23.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.37 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 75c | 20.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa771…c2c1backed Mercyhurst Lakers | 65c | 18.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Mercyhurst Lakersthis page
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 132.5Under won
- Fairleigh Dickinson Knights vs. Mercyhurst Lakers: O/U 133.5Under won
- Spread: Mercyhurst Lakers (-4.5)Mercyhurst Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.