Asian League · resolved market
Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2604b60e16644d04352626a68cd8e184fac9c326f4d08df67aa72489fa1a2d6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,126
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ff…32ebbacked No | 43c | 11,044$4,758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,286.47 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 56c | 5,472$3,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,064.2 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 40c | 4,620$1,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,771.65 | 189 | 52.9%100 W · 89 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 18c | 3,540$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.66 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 58c | 1,285$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.96 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 1,200$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f0f…e25fbacked Yes | 22c | 1,105$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 32cpaid | -70.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 78c | 995.99$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.12 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Yes | 16c | 943.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.67 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 370.26$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 40c | 300.57$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.57 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 17c | 278.18$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.66 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 59c | 253.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.37 | 276 | 39.1%108 W · 168 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 22c | 230$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 178.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.7 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 76c | 158.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.46 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 79c | 155.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 152.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 80c | 91.84$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.37 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed Yes | 68c | 44.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 40c | 31.83$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.1 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 423 | 51.3%217 W · 206 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed No | 78c | 29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd25a…7f71backed Yes | 61c | 17.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kyōto Sanga FC win on 2026-05-13?this page
- Will Vissel Kōbe vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Vissel Kōbe win on 2026-05-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.