La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2622a34e6baf08ac02a3b73f598ea604e49c5f3a8a380e181d58f2bbfe0735a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,149
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,608
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,149 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 39c | 11,327$4,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.8 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 63c | 3,553$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.95 | 1,497 | 38.6%578 W · 919 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed No | 60c | 3,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 81 | 60.5%49 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed No | 59c | 2,893$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.63 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f5…c161backed Yes | 26c | 757.56$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 61c | 478.81$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.52 | 102 | 57.8%59 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 464.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.43 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe40d…d654backed Yes | 43c | 463.13$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…cd5dbacked No | 61c | 443.99$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.16 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 61c | 400$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 121 | 59.5%72 W · 49 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5e…c0fabacked No | 61c | 378.32$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.18per pick | 61cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf703…541abacked Yes | 31c | 364.52$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 113 | 31%35 W · 78 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b043backed No | 61c | 260$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 61c | 260$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.4 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 32c | 247$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.98 | 836 | 40%334 W · 502 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 60c | 219$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 197$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed No | 60c | 182.8$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.12 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…f481backed Yes | 40c | 175.3$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1916…ed7ebacked Yes | 40c | 175$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed No | 60c | 124.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.74 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Yes | 40c | 115$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 58c | 103$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.26 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 58c | 101.36$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a7…e5d4backed No | 60c | 95.3$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.12 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 59c | 86.98$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 680 | 50.4%343 W · 337 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95cd…ef5ebacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 39c | 64.74$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Yes | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 61c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 60c | 36.01$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.3 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed No | 61c | 29.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.54 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed No | 60c | 25.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed No | 60c | 23.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed No | 61c | 22.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed No | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec7…ed98backed No | 61c | 16.79$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.55 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Valencia CF leading at halftime?No won
- Valencia CF vs. FC Barcelona: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.