Tennis · resolved market
Dubrovnik: Anhelina Kalinina vs Polona Hercog
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2628a5d49830f19a76f28f2d68316444b13ece37f6ece0fa151abd752c02afac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anhelina Kalininaof Anhelina Kalinina, Polona Hercog
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Polona Hercog | 17c | 9,774$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.66 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c45…0ac6backed Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 4,108$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,108.36 | 119 | 35.3%42 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Polona Hercog | 14c | 3,868$547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.95 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2755…fef0backed Polona Hercog | 12c | 1,605$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 34.5%78 W · 148 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Polona Hercog | 33c | 1,519$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Polona Hercog | 10c | 1,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Polona Hercog | 15c | 1,356$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Polona Hercog | 19c | 1,315$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 59%82 W · 57 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68af…ca81backed Polona Hercog | 22c | 928.77$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.94 | 217 | 20.3%44 W · 173 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Polona Hercog | 17c | 882.35$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Polona Hercog | 35c | 874.09$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.62 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Polona Hercog | 16c | 864.01$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.3 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Polona Hercog | 14c | 855.01$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.55 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Polona Hercog | 21c | 673.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.06 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x852d…c3dfbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 78c | 513.84$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.84 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Polona Hercog | 19c | 446.79$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.89 | 1,018 | 46.8%476 W · 542 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Polona Hercog | 6c | 398.22$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 451 | 47.2%213 W · 238 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Polona Hercog | 28c | 354.35$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Polona Hercog | 28c | 347.26$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.87 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…3e7abacked Anhelina Kalinina | 77c | 323.84$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 848 | 57.4%487 W · 361 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3a…df40backed Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 238 | 47.1%112 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Polona Hercog | 29c | 277.54$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.51 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Polona Hercog | 22c | 225.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 64c | 224.7$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.64 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8742…5e43backed Polona Hercog | 19c | 213.54$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.98 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Polona Hercog | 17c | 191.97$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.76 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Polona Hercog | 17c | 177.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Polona Hercog | 11c | 161$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked Anhelina Kalinina | 65c | 154.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 331 | 49.2%163 W · 168 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Polona Hercog | 11c | 147$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Polona Hercog | 11c | 139$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Polona Hercog | 23c | 124.57$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Anhelina Kalinina | 80c | 123.3$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.71 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 115$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 893 | 64.4%575 W · 318 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Anhelina Kalinina | 71c | 100.38$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.11 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Polona Hercog | 11c | 95$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 347 | 44.4%154 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 87.15$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Polona Hercog | 30c | 85.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 572 | 52.3%299 W · 273 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Polona Hercog | 17c | 81.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd77…ef21backed Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 652 | 64.1%418 W · 234 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bd…6cecbacked Polona Hercog | 17c | 65.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…5d46backed Polona Hercog | 19c | 54.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 69c | 53.54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Polona Hercog | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 903 | 35.8%323 W · 580 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Anhelina Kalinina | 71c | 49.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Polona Hercog | 21c | 49.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc539…5ec2backed Polona Hercog | 39c | 44.76$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 328 | 43.9%144 W · 184 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Anhelina Kalinina | 62c | 42.37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b7…73afbacked Polona Hercog | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 474 | 53.2%252 W · 222 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 73c | 33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed Polona Hercog | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 371 | 56.3%209 W · 162 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Anhelina Kalinina | 79c | 30.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 69c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 528 | 54.9%290 W · 238 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d62…0a41backed Anhelina Kalinina | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdf…3a19backed Anhelina Kalinina | 68c | 18.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e81…b4cebacked Anhelina Kalinina | 79c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Anhelina Kalinina | 66c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.47 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.