Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: FURIA Esports vs. LOUD
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265aaa097fe62545d46864bde1f3b10abe5836c9642b77436bca01f90d428fe9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LOUDof FURIA Esports, LOUD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,318
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed FURIA Esports | 30c | 6,470$1,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x644f…8bc9backed LOUD | 70c | 5,789$4,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.77 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed LOUD | 35c | 2,926$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,911.75 | 435 | 39.5%172 W · 263 L | -24.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed FURIA Esports | 66c | 2,323$1,527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.89 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed LOUD | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked LOUD | 35c | 599$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.36 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FURIA Esports | 32c | 535$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.24 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 500$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf69…b3ffbacked FURIA Esports | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FURIA Esports | 64c | 280$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.2 | 364 | 33.8%123 W · 241 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…ea34backed LOUD | 69c | 105$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 505 | 69.9%353 W · 152 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed LOUD | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed LOUD | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ba…68fabacked LOUD | 36c | 81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4241…2bfbbacked FURIA Esports | 40c | 70$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…f55fbacked LOUD | 36c | 47.5$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6374…0d31backed FURIA Esports | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2e…3bc1backed FURIA Esports | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6254…d8b7backed LOUD | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.