Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Eastern Washington Eagles vs. Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x265d08646a774bc722bb4b3b4435ec256b66d326503af4af449d490aaf504d49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Northern Arizona Lumberjacksof Eastern Washington Eagles, Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbe14…3bd1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 1c | 1,422$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 48c | 869.44$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.41 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 47c | 725.99$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.78 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 8c | 658.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 55c | 479.91$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.61 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 74c | 454.38$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 45c | 385.6$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.08 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 55c | 376.59$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.38 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 324.11$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.78 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 52c | 259$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.32 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 52c | 230.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 56c | 216.69$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.22 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 69c | 215.8$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.48 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 212.76$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.76 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 20c | 201.44$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 26c | 195.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 180.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.72 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 46c | 147.89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.86 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d1…a379backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 113.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 47c | 90.1$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.75 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 69c | 85.22$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 44c | 60.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 56c | 46.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Eastern Washington Eagles | 53c | 33.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.