NHL · resolved market
Spread: Jets (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26d2e4712cb0686bce71c6c3fa2ef9de3eb52ae932f73254c98cbcb33b91428a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jetsof Jets, Blues
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,405
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,405
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,405 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Jets | 32c | 16,767$5,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,401.49 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Blues | 68c | 3,593$2,443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,443.21 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blues | 68c | 3,270$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,223.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Blues | 70c | 2,800$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.86 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Blues | 68c | 2,779$1,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,890 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Jets | 30c | 2,261$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,582.7 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7837…40f1backed Blues | 68c | 1,676$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -4.6wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x783c…6900backed Blues | 68c | 1,518$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.02 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Blues | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Blues | 68c | 615$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.2 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Blues | 68c | 588.24$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 396 | 49.5%196 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Blues | 67c | 511.33$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.88 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Jets | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b61…b7eabacked Blues | 68c | 392.65$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Blues | 68c | 329$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.72 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Jets | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Jets | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Blues | 52c | 169$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.88 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…e2afbacked Blues | 68c | 163.03$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.86 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Blues | 68c | 121$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.28 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf67…fc18backed Jets | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Blues | 68c | 64.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.83 | 164 | 63.4%104 W · 60 L | +18.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Jets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd164…f17bbacked Blues | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Jets | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Blues | 68c | 39.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4794…d6e5backed Blues | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Jets | 78c | 22.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.03 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Blues | 68c | 19.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)this page
- Blues vs. JetsJets won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5Under won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.