NHL · resolved market
Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf047571374522c61bfbefd7cbfb8360b0115420e75e0f0f957d379a71952ee68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,500
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 4,411$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.94 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Under | 46c | 3,848$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.92 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 49c | 2,444$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.97 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 53c | 2,165$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.56 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31b0…8c4cbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 45c | 1,513$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.98 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 55c | 1,200$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 95 | 47.4%45 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Under | 50c | 1,100$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 31c | 641$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.3 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 35c | 534.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.95 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 35c | 502.69$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 493.26$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.36 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Under | 46c | 461.93$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.44 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 74c | 352.19$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.19 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 54c | 296.3$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 26c | 262.22$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 53c | 247.24$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Under | 45c | 246.36$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…d831backed Under | 47c | 228.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.14 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 309 | 52.4%162 W · 147 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 135$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…972dbacked Under | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e57…2bf6backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 35c | 101.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.13 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4977…8fd6backed Over | 56c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 177 | 54.2%96 W · 81 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 54c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0501…61ecbacked Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 696 | 53.4%372 W · 324 L | -16.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 46c | 33.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.08 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Under | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 349 | 49.9%174 W · 175 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3945…7077backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Under | 46c | 24.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 451 | 51.2%231 W · 220 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 54c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 47c | 23.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d1…6d49backed Over | 55c | 21.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 5.5this page
- Blues vs. JetsJets won
- Blues vs. Jets: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Jets (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.