CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs ECSTATIC (BO3) - Copenhagen Gaming Week Showdown Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26f78c7867f833de278acc7e77522da6c8a554991fe09e817fbfa4f6bc746697
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ECSTATICof Sashi Esport, ECSTATIC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 842.76$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.33 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8658…41c6backed Sashi Esport | 34c | 679.03$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.89 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Sashi Esport | 42c | 584.54$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.52 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport | 31c | 559.42$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee1…f616backed ECSTATIC | 56c | 457.34$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.04 | 133 | 32.3%43 W · 90 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…3fa0backed Sashi Esport | 37c | 443.97$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.27 | 500 | 43%215 W · 285 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 421.3$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.24 | 204 | 62.7%128 W · 76 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5f62backed Sashi Esport | 11c | 325.83$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82e…382ebacked Sashi Esport | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5b…3772backed Sashi Esport | 33c | 274.91$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.93 | 50 | 16%8 W · 42 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…898bbacked Sashi Esport | 24c | 269.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 129 | 46.5%60 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c8…006cbacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 261.9$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.9 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Sashi Esport | 6c | 250.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed Sashi Esport | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Sashi Esport | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 168 | 46.4%78 W · 90 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Sashi Esport | 16c | 246.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed ECSTATIC | 74c | 186.57$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ECSTATIC | 72c | 132.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d65…db09backed ECSTATIC | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.1 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Sashi Esport | 27c | 109.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x4925…a69abacked ECSTATIC | 65c | 106.38$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 103 | 31.1%32 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3685…6d99backed Sashi Esport | 33c | 96.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 129 | 48.1%62 W · 67 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb42d…bd2dbacked Sashi Esport | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 56cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed Sashi Esport | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked ECSTATIC | 40c | 66.01$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c8c…2359backed Sashi Esport | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed ECSTATIC | 75c | 59.79$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked ECSTATIC | 45c | 59.25$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d7…615fbacked Sashi Esport | 44c | 57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.08 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Sashi Esport | 47c | 55.43$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.84 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Sashi Esport | 28c | 52.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked ECSTATIC | 53c | 51.13$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…3398backed Sashi Esport | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 107 | 30.8%33 W · 74 L | -12.9wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2d71…1ee3backed Sashi Esport | 56c | 49.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b3…0886backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 48.94$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 63cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Sashi Esport | 53c | 48.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed ECSTATIC | 75c | 46.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 133 | 63.9%85 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Sashi Esport | 25c | 46.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…9e52backed Sashi Esport | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57fb…1336backed ECSTATIC | 63c | 39.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Sashi Esport | 50c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed ECSTATIC | 50c | 39$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43f9…7c65backed Sashi Esport | 53c | 37.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8f…4dc1backed ECSTATIC | 75c | 37$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.23 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 76cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…3264backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 34.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked ECSTATIC | 62c | 32.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked ECSTATIC | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…b031backed ECSTATIC | 76c | 31.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d79…a4e0backed ECSTATIC | 69c | 21.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…733abacked ECSTATIC | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…619bbacked ECSTATIC | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.