Tennis · resolved market
Philadelphia: Mia Pohankova vs Katie Volynets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x272362abb48049d86db3c712f2f1729e2ca15bd6c9676140e51d692fbed04645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katie Volynetsof Mia Pohankova, Katie Volynets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,949
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Mia Pohankova | 6c | 10,422$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.23 | 1,437 | 28.5%409 W · 1,028 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Mia Pohankova | 3c | 2,789$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Katie Volynets | 74c | 2,035$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.84 | 941 | 40.6%382 W · 559 L | -31.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Katie Volynets | 80c | 1,300$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 2,444 | 51.3%1,254 W · 1,190 L | +14.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Mia Pohankova | 19c | 1,225$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.75 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f17…0724backed Mia Pohankova | 3c | 1,200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 746 | 54.8%409 W · 337 L | +46.0wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Mia Pohankova | 3c | 1,138$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Mia Pohankova | 29c | 726.52$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.69 | 415 | 35.4%147 W · 268 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Mia Pohankova | 9c | 532.12$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Mia Pohankova | 2c | 483.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…126abacked Katie Volynets | 71c | 422.53$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.53 | 251 | 39.4%99 W · 152 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Mia Pohankova | 13c | 219.15$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1,745 | 48.1%840 W · 905 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Mia Pohankova | 22c | 184.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.5 | 954 | 45.5%434 W · 520 L | +22.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Mia Pohankova | 18c | 71.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Katie Volynets | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Mia Pohankova | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 310 | 35.2%109 W · 201 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mia Pohankova | 29c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8b…3d32backed Mia Pohankova | 31c | 35.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Katie Volynets | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Katie Volynets | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 333 | 63.1%210 W · 123 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x571f…1d37backed Katie Volynets | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 1,076 | 54.8%590 W · 486 L | +14.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3637…21a4backed Katie Volynets | 78c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.08 | 94 | 60.6%57 W · 37 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.