South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27360037b15017128dba8d18f01ba7ccb23aaae852fe96bf26a02df468dc481a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,935
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,236
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,935 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 8,642$3,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,851.02 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 50c | 4,500$2,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,256 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e4…4803backed Over | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,799.99 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 3,550$1,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.7 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa704…11c1backed Over | 71c | 2,817$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.9 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 70c | 2,182$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.1 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 47c | 1,999$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$939.55 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 59c | 1,146$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.34 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Under | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…f983backed Under | 5c | 1,000$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 110 | 25.5%28 W · 82 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe57d…bf4cbacked Under | 5c | 982.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 17.8%21 W · 97 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Over | 46c | 672.2$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.35 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 45c | 600$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 129 | 40.3%52 W · 77 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 40c | 599.98$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482a…c85dbacked Over | 31c | 579.74$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.02 | 89 | 28.1%25 W · 64 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 45c | 533$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.85 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 35c | 517.15$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.86 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 75c | 495.73$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.58 | 517 | 50.7%262 W · 255 L | +28.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 5c | 412.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 457 | 46.8%214 W · 243 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…8b23backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 39c | 382.62$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.22 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…a8e0backed Over | 53c | 287.1$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.07 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 39c | 273.8$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.23 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 56c | 225.96$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.94 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 44c | 199.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 38c | 181.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.58 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 58c | 174.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 173.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.74 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 23c | 173$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.79 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 23c | 170$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 47c | 169.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 23c | 154.43$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.75 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 41c | 117.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 33cpaid | +67%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 23c | 112$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b4…17eebacked Over | 68c | 110.29$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.29 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Over | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +113.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 39c | 72.25$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Over | 35c | 68.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.28 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…c32abacked Over | 55c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 184 | 26.1%48 W · 136 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 26c | 56.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 25c | 56.2$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 45c | 53$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8227…f436backed Over | 53c | 52.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.05 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 41c | 48.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a0…5911backed Under | 53c | 43.48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb262…9b98backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 38c | 39.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 69c | 34.32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…c2a0backed Over | 36c | 33.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 302 | 31.1%94 W · 208 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 54c | 22.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 333 | 65.5%218 W · 115 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Over | 62c | 21.45$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.