South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffef2a4b29ef649200f897e4b1dcec47e8be309d7370985e31e99da9b81f6e7a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,088
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,193
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,088 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 79c | 9,126$7,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.11 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 3,795$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.53 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 31c | 3,089$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.55 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…04fabacked Over | 10c | 2,913$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.27 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 2c | 1,077$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 8c | 680.12$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 69c | 626.5$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.4 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 31c | 612.63$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.92 | 452 | 53.1%240 W · 212 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 23c | 326.09$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.53 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 6c | 312.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 78c | 287.9$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.89 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 69c | 230$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.3 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 76c | 218.56$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 74c | 139.66$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.43 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 72c | 132.56$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 74c | 132.19$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.34 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 119.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.32 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 31c | 118.63$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.78 | 559 | 46%257 W · 302 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 73c | 110$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 69c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 73c | 35.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.62 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 75c | 27.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 264 | 65.9%174 W · 90 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 73c | 26.78$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 164 | 59.8%98 W · 66 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 72c | 26.53$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1010…d793backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 253 | 45.1%114 W · 139 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Under | 69c | 19.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 145 | 63.4%92 W · 53 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5f5…1b50backed Under | 76c | 19.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.68 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 78c | 17.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.89 | 118 | 61.9%73 W · 45 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.