South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccdfa35f93d31d848498b33032d9a96b4151de743fc4fbc9decb0547f0057450
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,205
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,164
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,205 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x41d2…d7c9backed Over | 24c | 6,254$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 5,255$3,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.22 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 69c | 4,314$2,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.04 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 58c | 3,630$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,103.87 | 347 | 47.6%165 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 3,624$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.24 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 76c | 2,520$1,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.34 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Over | 47c | 2,240$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.71 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 36c | 1,754$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.99 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8224…7384backed Over | 22c | 1,125$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.41 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 54c | 1,094$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.81 | 230 | 44.3%102 W · 128 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…78abbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 24.2%16 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.09per pick | 15cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed Under | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 457$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.79 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 138 | 33.3%46 W · 92 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 74c | 243.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.45 | 538 | 36.8%198 W · 340 L | -24.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Over | 26c | 192.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d0…7534backed Under | 43c | 186.05$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Under | 51c | 177.77$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.22 | 190 | 40.5%77 W · 113 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 70c | 163.51$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 72c | 151.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 63c | 144.68$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…75f0backed Under | 74c | 135.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.13 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 46c | 115.74$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 464 | 49.6%230 W · 234 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Over | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39f9…fcc3backed Over | 25c | 98.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 58c | 95.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.23 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 58c | 92.71$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 54c | 87.59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 36c | 81.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.28 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 17c | 78.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.28 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 44c | 68.53$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 694 | 53.5%371 W · 323 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 80c | 58.01$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 43c | 50.58$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.67 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 787 | 56.4%444 W · 343 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Over | 58c | 48.53$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.15 | 404 | 51.2%207 W · 197 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3110…c3f5backed Under | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…55d7backed Under | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.51 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 71c | 30.2$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 63c | 28.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Under | 46c | 27.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 79c | 26.6$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 68 | 77.9%53 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x147c…2540backed Under | 42c | 24.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked Over | 58c | 20.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x050d…2b12backed Under | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: CA River Plate O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: CA Tigre O/U 1.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 0.5Over won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 2.5Under won
- CA Tigre vs. CA River Plate: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: CA River Plate (-1.5)CA Tigre won
- Spread: CA Tigre (-1.5)CA River Plate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.