Tennis · resolved market
ITF Rzeszow: Stefan Seifert vs Herman Hoeyeraal
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x275fa68925c40931cb549eadcb92dd7cfc0c058b51dc1b92729239e78d079a2f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Herman Hoeyeraalof Stefan Seifert, Herman Hoeyeraal
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,384
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Stefan Seifert | 21c | 1,536$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.99 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c0…13b5backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 60c | 1,036$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Stefan Seifert | 40c | 867.54$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Stefan Seifert | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 58c | 373.33$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.8 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ee…0db4backed Stefan Seifert | 57c | 348.47$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 545 | 47.9%261 W · 284 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 54c | 279.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.55 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 62c | 265.09$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.09 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 72c | 208.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 71c | 174.76$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 75c | 144.84$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 60c | 115.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stefan Seifert | 35c | 101.59$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 50c | 81.37$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 113 | 38.9%44 W · 69 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7629…ef05backed Stefan Seifert | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 372 | 62.9%234 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 57c | 71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.77 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 62c | 43.22$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Stefan Seifert | 69c | 41.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.86 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 60c | 40.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.29 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Stefan Seifert | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Stefan Seifert | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 37c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Stefan Seifert | 42c | 29.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 71c | 28.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Stefan Seifert | 44c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Stefan Seifert | 59c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 1,179 | 52.8%623 W · 556 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Stefan Seifert | 46c | 25.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6251…53aabacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Herman Hoeyeraal | 44c | 23.36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Herman Hoeyeraal | 62c | 22.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.