CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c90ae4053e836db0fe7e9f8b5cf2fa6ac190104e18a3568e5675d26fe697d9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof OG, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,053
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,989
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,053 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 35c | 2,345$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.17 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SPARTA | 66c | 1,793$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.97 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 40c | 1,016$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.22 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked OG | 63c | 1,000$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629.24 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked OG | 44c | 688.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked SPARTA | 73c | 546.3$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.06 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed SPARTA | 70c | 507.46$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.17 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xccec…1dfcbacked SPARTA | 53c | 499.58$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.8 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 50c | 449.73$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.11 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed OG | 58c | 376.51$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.63 | 312 | 41.3%129 W · 183 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 40c | 270.81$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.94 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed SPARTA | 41c | 245$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.55 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda29…f4b8backed OG | 61c | 223.97$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadcd…29e9backed OG | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed SPARTA | 49c | 188.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.41 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed OG | 41c | 178.24$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked SPARTA | 56c | 174$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.95 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed OG | 20c | 164.18$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked SPARTA | 61c | 159$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.12 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked OG | 56c | 136.73$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.98 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed SPARTA | 37c | 125.45$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.03 | 406 | 39.4%160 W · 246 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked SPARTA | 46c | 108.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked OG | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 48c | 91.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed OG | 56c | 85$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.18 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked OG | 55c | 78$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OG | 56c | 70$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.49 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked OG | 17c | 69.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 49c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.93 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked OG | 29c | 60.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked OG | 38c | 51.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 41c | 50.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed OG | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 46c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed OG | 49c | 40.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed SPARTA | 73c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked OG | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked OG | 32c | 33.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.98 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed SPARTA | 38c | 32$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…ff81backed SPARTA | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed SPARTA | 45c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked OG | 55c | 26.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…4a2abacked OG | 57c | 26.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked SPARTA | 63c | 18.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked OG | 55c | 18.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd955…d1b3backed OG | 69c | 18.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsOG won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA - Map 1 WinnerOG won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.