CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e03158dd282aa7314931ba10dfced0cff9bbb5900e6577af46352f4ca909ec0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- OGof OG, SPARTA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,153
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed SPARTA | 23c | 7,256$1,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,648.81 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8f…2aeebacked SPARTA | 44c | 1,670$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.8 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked OG | 56c | 1,620$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$712.8 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked OG | 54c | 999.99$537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.27 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked SPARTA | 14c | 947.23$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.51 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed SPARTA | 26c | 700$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked SPARTA | 18c | 588.06$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.08 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed SPARTA | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked SPARTA | 39c | 481.3$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.92 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked SPARTA | 22c | 442.8$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed OG | 70c | 430.07$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.07 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x912f…b25bbacked SPARTA | 11c | 382.33$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.12 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed SPARTA | 36c | 380.11$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.65 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 19c | 326.38$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed SPARTA | 23c | 321.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 15c | 314.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.55 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked OG | 54c | 310.36$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 384 | 54.2%208 W · 176 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 23c | 301$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.94 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed SPARTA | 44c | 292.14$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.54 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed OG | 60c | 291$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.32 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed SPARTA | 10c | 271.83$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6421…045dbacked OG | 71c | 263.31$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.36 | 162 | 48.1%78 W · 84 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed OG | 51c | 199.98$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.99 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked SPARTA | 49c | 199.02$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.52 | 118 | 31.4%37 W · 81 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…4754backed SPARTA | 37c | 175.93$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 22c | 172.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed SPARTA | 16c | 161$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked SPARTA | 33c | 142.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed OG | 71c | 138.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked SPARTA | 30c | 130$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked OG | 64c | 125.97$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.35 | 384 | 69.5%267 W · 117 L | +31.6wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed OG | 58c | 117.21$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.8 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed OG | 68c | 117.11$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed OG | 61c | 116.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.32 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked SPARTA | 47c | 109$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed SPARTA | 43c | 86.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.18 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed OG | 57c | 79.47$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed OG | 77c | 73.13$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed SPARTA | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked SPARTA | 34c | 60.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked OG | 79c | 55.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed SPARTA | 45c | 55.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked SPARTA | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed SPARTA | 36c | 53.42$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 421 | 54.6%230 W · 191 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed OG | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…a470backed OG | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked OG | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked SPARTA | 47c | 46.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed OG | 58c | 44.47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe53b…fe03backed OG | 68c | 43.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.01 | 413 | 72.2%298 W · 115 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83dd…1517backed OG | 54c | 37.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.17 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +4.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed SPARTA | 36c | 34.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked OG | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…e9cebacked OG | 74c | 27.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.07 | 184 | 81.5%150 W · 34 L | +13.6wins | +0.07per pick | 74cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed OG | 58c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8fd…5efabacked OG | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #4 PlayoffsOG won
- Counter-Strike: OG vs SPARTA - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: OG (-1.5) vs SPARTA (+1.5)SPARTA won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.