Asian League · resolved market
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x283620f44f63b784999c890284494a4f7f00a4044e2b66cb40b0e031a003566c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,237
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,237 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Over | 61c | 2,576$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,571.24 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.27per pick | 48cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 41c | 1,405$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 71c | 707.15$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.79 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 693.47$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.02 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 39c | 688.08$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.76 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 62c | 459.32$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.78 | 139 | 56.1%78 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Under | 37c | 325$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 136 | 31.6%43 W · 93 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 67c | 315.77$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f3…1732backed Over | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ca…117abacked Over | 30c | 299.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 226 | 42.5%96 W · 130 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 31c | 283.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 79 | 26.6%21 W · 58 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 63c | 167$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.21 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 63.4%85 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Under | 70c | 144.29$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.29 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 38c | 131.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Under | 39c | 125$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.25 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 53c | 112.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.47 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 34c | 102.94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.02 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad3…d0d2backed Under | 49c | 51.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.43 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 39c | 50.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 208 | 60.1%125 W · 83 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Over | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 115 | 57.4%66 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 155 | 49%76 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…a3eebacked Over | 43c | 37.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 60c | 34.39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 34c | 30.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d05…f729backed Over | 63c | 30.05$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 122 | 44.3%54 W · 68 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 38c | 26.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.44 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82fc…ed4ebacked Over | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Under | 77c | 23.38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 67c | 22.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Over | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bucheon FC 1995 (-2.5)Jeju SK FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.