Serie A · resolved market
FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2846b1be7f64ae80ac51ae4776efb73afb16ec049f21594d0a65c5a4a37eacb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,878
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,806
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,878 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 64c | 2,702$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.9 | 190 | 42.6%81 W · 109 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 38c | 1,274$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.13 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 36c | 1,222$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.07 | 419 | 54.7%229 W · 190 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b3…0bacbacked Yes | 62c | 1,210$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 61c | 1,070$654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.51 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 35c | 1,070$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.23 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed No | 36c | 638.34$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.54 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x308b…b223backed Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…954abacked Yes | 62c | 462.05$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 43c | 442$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 310 | 51.6%160 W · 150 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 37c | 276.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.91 | 61 | 65.6%40 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 39c | 268.76$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.94 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 38c | 236.06$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 342 | 39.2%134 W · 208 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8e7dbacked No | 41c | 141.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.89 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 84.76$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.09 | 274 | 53.3%146 W · 128 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Yes | 60c | 79.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.71 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 38c | 63.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.28 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 37c | 47.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 328 | 54.3%178 W · 150 L | +14.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe906…db88backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2b…9796backed Yes | 63c | 44.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 18.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Internazionale Milano leading at halftime?this page
- AC Monza leading at halftime?No won
- FC Internazionale Milano vs. AC Monza: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.