South American Leagues · resolved market
Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28780cf47dfc5008b8f6bc5a23208915c62f674cd530e46df97fd207313ab079
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,687
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,687 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 67c | 4,024$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.06 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 32c | 2,229$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.15 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 47c | 330.75$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.45 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 68c | 219.36$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.24 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 68c | 213.64$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.35 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 67c | 184.38$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 720 | 58.8%423 W · 297 L | +29.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 52c | 148.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.18 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90b3…8b6dbacked Yes | 48c | 95.83$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 23c | 94.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 20c | 93.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.67 | 646 | 33.1%214 W · 432 L | -24.8wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4438…f659backed Yes | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 57.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked No | 66c | 53.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.03 | 85 | 69.4%59 W · 26 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c31…5380backed No | 54c | 48.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 114 | 57%65 W · 49 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 58c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 352 | 46.9%165 W · 187 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 46c | 30.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.09 | 1,668 | 51.7%863 W · 805 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 48c | 26.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 506 | 56.3%285 W · 221 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 67c | 20.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.65 | 412 | 62.1%256 W · 156 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: Independiente Santa Fe O/U 2.5Over won
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 0.5Over won
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 1.5Over won
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 2.5Over won
- Caracas FC vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Caracas FC (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
- Spread: Independiente Santa Fe (-1.5)Independiente Santa Fe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.