Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Siena Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28dcf29566e22f777b3bf25fe1bdd1d9b6a53c3cec84e250825afa5d5d545c5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Saint Peter's Peacocks, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,860
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 2c | 2,577$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 149 | 30.2%45 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 23c | 1,231$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.47 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 35c | 382.59$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.92 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Siena Saints | 68c | 318.46$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.88 | 374 | 41.7%156 W · 218 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 31c | 299.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Siena Saints | 70c | 213.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Siena Saints | 69c | 207.24$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 30c | 199.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 32c | 181.41$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.05 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb127…b8a2backed Siena Saints | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Siena Saints | 72c | 102.78$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Siena Saints | 69c | 100.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.41 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 22c | 99.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Siena Saints | 70c | 89$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed Siena Saints | 73c | 88.35$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 932 | 47.3%441 W · 491 L | -22.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 32c | 83.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 29c | 82.72$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Siena Saints | 78c | 71$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 32c | 65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.8 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 30c | 43.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434b…adb4backed Siena Saints | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c49…50e2backed Siena Saints | 70c | 41.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Saint Peter's Peacocks | 31c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Saint Peter's Peacocks | 30c | 37.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 176 | 27.8%49 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Siena Saints | 70c | 35.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Siena Saints | 72c | 23.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…2022backed Siena Saints | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 39 | 74.4%29 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Siena Saints | 68c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe545…5bacbacked Siena Saints | 80c | 15.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Siena Saintsthis page
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Siena Saints: O/U 136.5Under won
- Saint Peter's Peacocks vs. Siena Saints: O/U 137.5Under won
- Spread: Siena Saints (-5.5)Siena Saints won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.