Mls · resolved market
FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a3b7a77ddd3ae110c82b40793e1c760e270191553078f4a4a95c265c279b9e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,565
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,565 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 37c | 795.56$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Yes | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 404.59$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 63c | 155$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.35 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39f6…abe1backed Yes | 64c | 133.35$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 79 | 74.7%59 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 62c | 88.37$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 62c | 75.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 187 | 74.3%139 W · 48 L | +33.5wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 63c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.75 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 63c | 69.7$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.79 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed No | 37c | 69.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 38c | 62.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.58 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed No | 37c | 48.68$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 233 | 50.6%118 W · 115 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 64c | 39.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 43cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Yes | 63c | 23.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.88 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 67c | 15.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 2.5Over won
- FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5Over won
- FC Dallas vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-1.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
- Spread: FC Dallas (-2.5)Los Angeles Galaxy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.