Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a6bb29ac28751f8c2bbc932a5dd6f754d915f4b4a142a1f2d36a7b3703aafd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,579
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,579 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x098c…1c67backed Under | 56c | 8,529$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780.29 | 1,035 | 47.2%489 W · 546 L | +26.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed Over | 44c | 5,561$2,441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.84 | 151 | 48.3%73 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Over | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 108 | 39.8%43 W · 65 L | -12.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 38c | 1,015$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.67 | 1,827 | 45.6%834 W · 993 L | +26.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 62c | 998.12$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.83 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x782f…db54backed Over | 44c | 437.48$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.99 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Under | 58c | 336.68$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.83 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Over | 30c | 335.97$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.61 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…6657backed Under | 74c | 307.49$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 175 | 61.1%107 W · 68 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Over | 44c | 295.45$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.45 | 101 | 41.6%42 W · 59 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Over | 46c | 277.46$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.71 | 1,593 | 43.8%697 W · 896 L | -74.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 25c | 259.86$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.9 | 350 | 54.6%191 W · 159 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ac…6b83backed Under | 59c | 228.58$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe3e1…5683backed Under | 57c | 179.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.59 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Over | 26c | 162.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.05 | 1,399 | 43.7%612 W · 787 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Over | 28c | 154.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed Under | 71c | 140.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 60.7%212 W · 137 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 10c | 136.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Over | 39c | 133$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.13 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8c…1991backed Under | 56c | 132$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.92 | 332 | 54.2%180 W · 152 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6700…67c4backed Over | 42c | 118.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.88 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 41c | 117.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.15 | 130 | 30.8%40 W · 90 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 60c | 113$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.74 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…aa5abacked Under | 59c | 100.21$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe658…2c42backed Under | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 181 | 41.4%75 W · 106 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…8872backed Over | 75c | 88.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 398 | 59.8%238 W · 160 L | +31.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 406 | 45.6%185 W · 221 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a37…4daebacked Over | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Under | 65c | 73.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.64 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…df6fbacked Under | 35c | 65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed Under | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf92c…a387backed Under | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7171…697abacked Under | 61c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 165 | 47.9%79 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Under | 61c | 46.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 476 | 30.7%146 W · 330 L | -13.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d7…dacfbacked Over | 40c | 45.07$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.07 | 289 | 65.1%188 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 41c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.6 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 72c | 39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…0121backed Under | 74c | 37.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 660 | 58.8%388 W · 272 L | -36.9wins | -0.06per pick | 64cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68b3…97c8backed Under | 61c | 36.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Under | 57c | 33.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.96 | 1,576 | 48.4%763 W · 813 L | +17.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5781…bbfbbacked Under | 75c | 30.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x868f…5da6backed Over | 42c | 24.17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.02 | 196 | 56.6%111 W · 85 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 54c | 21$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked Under | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: KT (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX (+1.5)Kiwoom DRX won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2KT Rolster won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 1 WinnerKT Rolster won
- LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs KT Rolster - Game 2 WinnerKiwoom DRX won
- Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.