Fifa International · resolved market
Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 4.5 Corners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a9b4295444b96fe37ba6851d5c16a8ac9523c82858a498c86fcb8c29faafdaf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Over | 56c | 755.36$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.36 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30da…a11dbacked Over | 61c | 655.56$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 278 | 20.1%56 W · 222 L | -17.2wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 29c | 433.05$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 33c | 385.56$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.42 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 39c | 385$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 64c | 307.31$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.63 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 37c | 254.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.02 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Under | 44c | 250$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 320 | 44.1%141 W · 179 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Over | 63c | 231.69$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 1,601 | 47.8%765 W · 836 L | +51.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79c…cb96backed Under | 39c | 212.74$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.94 | 920 | 38.5%354 W · 566 L | -21.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 41c | 192.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.57 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 39c | 172.91$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.43 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Under | 40c | 141$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.82 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 44c | 83.52$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Under | 44c | 71.38$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 291 | 54%157 W · 134 L | +21.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 61c | 52.29$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1,114 | 49.4%550 W · 564 L | +57.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 56c | 47.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Under | 41c | 26.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 4.5 Cornersthis page
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: 2nd Half O/U 5.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Algeria O/U 5.5 CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 3.5 CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 10.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 11.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 12.5 Total CornersUnder won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 6.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 7.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total CornersOver won
- Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 9.5 Total CornersOver won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.