Tennis · resolved market
Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Timofey Skatov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b6fe77625049ab4e4f7ed8fe134af1940cd1f32ce4af3d4262633cba2ef2a6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrey Rublevof Andrey Rublev, Timofey Skatov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $158,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Timofey Skatov | 7c | 27,223$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.02 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 10,543$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.39 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x280f…ad6abacked Timofey Skatov | 13c | 9,469$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Timofey Skatov | 8c | 7,699$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.33 | 1,206 | 8%96 W · 1,110 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c3a…eb16backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 3,000$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 73 | 20.5%15 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…d782backed Timofey Skatov | 10c | 2,908$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timofey Skatov | 8c | 2,906$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.46 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 2,537$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.33 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Timofey Skatov | 5c | 2,192$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.18 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Timofey Skatov | 9c | 2,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.13 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 1,882$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.03 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Timofey Skatov | 6c | 1,613$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.79 | 323 | 29.7%96 W · 227 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Timofey Skatov | 6c | 1,297$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.12 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Timofey Skatov | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Timofey Skatov | 6c | 988.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e0…7387backed Timofey Skatov | 5c | 916.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Timofey Skatov | 3c | 813.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 242 | 29.8%72 W · 170 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6378…2286backed Timofey Skatov | 3c | 583.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Timofey Skatov | 3c | 564.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Timofey Skatov | 9c | 549.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.45 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e1…5ec9backed Timofey Skatov | 3c | 499.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 440 | 18.9%83 W · 357 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Timofey Skatov | 10c | 492.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Timofey Skatov | 8c | 417.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.53 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Timofey Skatov | 9c | 407$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Timofey Skatov | 10c | 350.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 372 | 38.2%142 W · 230 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Timofey Skatov | 5c | 329.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 283.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.43 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba66…0779backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 212$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Timofey Skatov | 10c | 201.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 179 | 31.8%57 W · 122 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Timofey Skatov | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Timofey Skatov | 7c | 194.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Timofey Skatov | 9c | 179.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Timofey Skatov | 7c | 176.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Timofey Skatov | 12c | 175.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc19…31c4backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 151$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 325 | 46.2%150 W · 175 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed Timofey Skatov | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 284 | 42.3%120 W · 164 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…d143backed Timofey Skatov | 11c | 130$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Timofey Skatov | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9bc…377ebacked Timofey Skatov | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 249 | 18.5%46 W · 203 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f40…16c7backed Andrey Rublev | 58c | 96.3$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.45 | 111 | 63.1%70 W · 41 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Estoril Open: Andrey Rublev vs Timofey Skatovthis page
- Set Handicap: Rublev (-1.5) vs Skatov (+1.5)Rublev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.