Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b7c155d3233eee3e4a210e077dc596af661bf61bafeff61404246727b5400af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,466
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,466 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 57c | 3,406$1,956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.79 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Over | 53c | 3,352$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,776.67 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 34c | 1,691$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.94 | 239 | 26.4%63 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 25c | 1,059$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.24 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 51c | 784.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.31 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9453…22cfbacked Over | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 490.85$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.74 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43de…d169backed Over | 53c | 424.53$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Over | 19c | 420$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.25 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 227.11$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.07 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 25c | 206.39$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.52 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 188.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 53c | 155.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 47c | 148.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.87 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 53c | 145.95$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.35 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 12c | 140$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 85 | 16.5%14 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 49c | 124.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.06 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0383…7034backed Over | 54c | 92.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…be4fbacked Over | 55c | 91.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 222 | 44.1%98 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 26c | 77.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Under | 46c | 74.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.46 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 16c | 64.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 122 | 45.1%55 W · 67 L | -7.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 351 | 34.8%122 W · 229 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1110…0123backed Over | 54c | 51.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.81 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…630fbacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -41%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 60c | 41.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 50c | 37.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.94 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 44c | 31.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Over | 47c | 25.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 209 | 31.6%66 W · 143 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…22c7backed Under | 50c | 20.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…0bb4backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.