Premier League · resolved market
Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85580ef7e5e0aa9ca5cf1b0969b7cda55ddacee48defe51b8c0ff4525dca4b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,613
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,667
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,613 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 5,399$2,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.44 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,881$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.83 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ed…6fb8backed Over | 45c | 1,346$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 34c | 1,042$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.45 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 999.99$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0666…d31abacked Over | 52c | 955.36$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.99 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 45c | 503.87$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.74 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 265 | 48.3%128 W · 137 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4138…6a24backed Over | 77c | 390.83$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 370$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 23c | 363.15$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.47 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 57c | 350.88$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 29c | 332.93$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 56c | 287.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 44.7%92 W · 114 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 51c | 177.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 57c | 175.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf42d…b35cbacked Over | 59c | 143.15$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.41 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 50c | 140.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 54c | 137.56$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.62 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over | 59c | 135.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b0…1846backed Over | 76c | 131.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 58c | 113.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked Under | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 69cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 31c | 53.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 210 | 49%103 W · 107 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Over | 53c | 53.24$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Under | 32c | 53.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.13 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 49c | 40.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 77c | 29.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6894…59d8backed Over | 77c | 20.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 1.5this page
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Wrexham AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.